March 25 (Reuters) - The interest rate on the most
popular U.S. home loan surged by the most in 11 months last week
to the highest since October as rising oil prices from the war
in Iran fanned inflation fears, forcing up yields on the
Treasury bonds most influential to mortgage rates.
The Mortgage Bankers Association said on Wednesday the
contract rate on a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage rose 13 basis
points to 6.43% in the week ended March 20, the highest in
nearly six months.
After starting the month at their lowest level since
September 2022, mortgage rates since the U.S. and Israel
launched air attacks against Iran have climbed by 34 basis
points in three weeks, and last week's increase marked the
largest weekly rise since April.
The MBA's weekly applications index tumbled 10.5% last week
to 310.7, the lowest since January, led by a 14.6% drop in
applications to refinance existing loans. Applications for loans
to purchase a property slid 5.4%.
The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note, the government
security most influential to mortgage rates, has shot higher
since the war began and Iran effectively closed the Strait of
Hormuz, choking off the flow of about a fifth of the world's
petroleum. Benchmark global crude oil prices have shot up from
about $75 a barrel in late February to around $100 a barrel now.
The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed from 3.96% on the
Friday before the attacks began on February 28 to 4.39% on
Tuesday, matching its highest end-of-day level since July.
Bond and interest rate futures markets have repositioned for
the prospect that the U.S. Federal Reserve will hold off on any
interest rate cuts this year. Prior to the start of the war the
market had expected at least one 25-basis-point reduction this
year.
"The threat of higher for longer oil prices continued to
keep Treasury yields elevated, and mortgage rates finished last
week higher," said Joel Kan, MBA's vice president and deputy
chief economist.
"Given this period of increasing mortgage rates and
diminishing refinance incentives, refinance applications
decreased 15 percent as applications across all loan types
declined. Purchase applications were also down last week, as
higher mortgage rates, coupled with affordability constraints
and economic uncertainty, pushed some potential homebuyers to
the sidelines."