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US stock futures, dollar rise after Biden-Trump debate
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US stock futures, dollar rise after Biden-Trump debate
Jun 27, 2024 9:06 PM

NEW YORK, June 27 (Reuters) - U.S. stock futures and the

dollar rose in early Asian trading on Friday as 2024

presidential election candidates Joe Biden and his predecessor

Donald Trump sparred in their first debate, with Trump viewed as

putting in a stronger showing than his opponent.

While the election is four months away, investors anticipate

a Trump presidency would mean lower corporate taxes, tougher

trade relations and therefore higher stock prices and bond

yields.

"Wall Street indices have crept higher over the past hour,

which could be taken as a sign that Trump made the better case -

as we all know he is Wall Street friendly," said Matt Simpson,

senior market analyst at City Index in Brisbane.

The U.S. dollar rose to a 10-day high against the Mexican

peso and climbed against other trade-sensitive

currencies, including the Canadian dollar.

Stock futures extended gains as the debate progressed, with

the S&P 500 E-minis rising 0.3% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis

up 0.46%.

China's benchmark CSI300 edged up 0.4% while Hong

Kong's Hang Seng Index was flat as the two U.S.

presidential candidates debated tariffs on China, with Trump

criticizing Biden for not doing more.

Biden, sounding hoarse and tentative at times, stumbled over

his words on several occasions during the debate's first

half-hour. Trump rattled off one attack after another including

about Biden's handling of the economy, though fact-checkers

deemed many of his comments misleading or false.

Biden acknowledged that inflation had driven prices

substantially higher than at the start of his term but said he

deserves credit for putting "things back together again"

following the coronavirus pandemic.

Trump asserted he had overseen "the greatest economy in the

history of our country" before the pandemic struck and said he

took action to prevent the economic free-fall from deepening

even further.

Karl Schamotta, chief market strategist at payments company

Corpay in Toronto, said Biden turned in a "disastrous

performance" that had triggered a sharp rise in the odds of a

Trump victory.

"This is translating into a tumble in trade-sensitive

currencies," he said.

Both Biden and Trump have favored a tough trade stance by

imposing and threatening tariffs, on China in particular. But

investors are leery about the impact of tariffs on inflation.

Online prediction market PredictIt's 2024 presidential

general election market showed Biden's odds down to 39% from 45%

a day earlier, while Trump's were up to 61% from 55%.

U.S. Treasury yields rose slightly, with those on 10-year

notes up 2 basis points to 4.313% and 5 basis points

higher for the week but still off 20 basis points for June so

far.

Analysts at JPMorgan noted Trump's team had proposed

wide-scale tariffs on imports, which would lift prices, while

restrictions to immigration would put upward pressure on wages

and extended tax cuts would likely add to government debt.

"Investors are hedging against a more isolationist turn in

the United States after the November election," Corpay's

Schamotta said.

Some investors, however, warned against reading too much

into the move in stock market futures.

"We are in the early days with more to go. Don't assume an

outcome," said Tim Ghriskey, senior portfolio strategist at

Ingalls & Snyder.

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