NEW YORK, June 27 (Reuters) - U.S. stock futures and the
dollar rose in early Asian trading on Friday as 2024
presidential election candidates Joe Biden and his predecessor
Donald Trump sparred in their first debate, with Trump viewed as
putting in a stronger showing than his opponent.
While the election is four months away, investors anticipate
a Trump presidency would mean lower corporate taxes, tougher
trade relations and therefore higher stock prices and bond
yields.
"Wall Street indices have crept higher over the past hour,
which could be taken as a sign that Trump made the better case -
as we all know he is Wall Street friendly," said Matt Simpson,
senior market analyst at City Index in Brisbane.
The U.S. dollar rose to a 10-day high against the Mexican
peso and climbed against other trade-sensitive
currencies, including the Canadian dollar.
Stock futures extended gains as the debate progressed, with
the S&P 500 E-minis rising 0.3% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis
up 0.46%.
China's benchmark CSI300 edged up 0.4% while Hong
Kong's Hang Seng Index was flat as the two U.S.
presidential candidates debated tariffs on China, with Trump
criticizing Biden for not doing more.
Biden, sounding hoarse and tentative at times, stumbled over
his words on several occasions during the debate's first
half-hour. Trump rattled off one attack after another including
about Biden's handling of the economy, though fact-checkers
deemed many of his comments misleading or false.
Biden acknowledged that inflation had driven prices
substantially higher than at the start of his term but said he
deserves credit for putting "things back together again"
following the coronavirus pandemic.
Trump asserted he had overseen "the greatest economy in the
history of our country" before the pandemic struck and said he
took action to prevent the economic free-fall from deepening
even further.
Karl Schamotta, chief market strategist at payments company
Corpay in Toronto, said Biden turned in a "disastrous
performance" that had triggered a sharp rise in the odds of a
Trump victory.
"This is translating into a tumble in trade-sensitive
currencies," he said.
Both Biden and Trump have favored a tough trade stance by
imposing and threatening tariffs, on China in particular. But
investors are leery about the impact of tariffs on inflation.
Online prediction market PredictIt's 2024 presidential
general election market showed Biden's odds down to 39% from 45%
a day earlier, while Trump's were up to 61% from 55%.
U.S. Treasury yields rose slightly, with those on 10-year
notes up 2 basis points to 4.313% and 5 basis points
higher for the week but still off 20 basis points for June so
far.
Analysts at JPMorgan noted Trump's team had proposed
wide-scale tariffs on imports, which would lift prices, while
restrictions to immigration would put upward pressure on wages
and extended tax cuts would likely add to government debt.
"Investors are hedging against a more isolationist turn in
the United States after the November election," Corpay's
Schamotta said.
Some investors, however, warned against reading too much
into the move in stock market futures.
"We are in the early days with more to go. Don't assume an
outcome," said Tim Ghriskey, senior portfolio strategist at
Ingalls & Snyder.