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Futures up: Dow 0.06%, S&P 500 0.04%, Nasdaq 0.10%
July 5 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures inched up at
the end of a week that saw signs of a softening economy raising
hopes of an interest rate cut in September, with investors
gearing up for yet another key employment report after returning
from a July 4th holiday.
A Labor Department report, due at 8:30 a.m. ET, is expected
to show non-farm payrolls rose by 190,000 in June after
advancing by 272,000 jobs in May, while unemployment rate likely
remained unchanged at 4% and average hourly earnings rose 0.3%
after rising 0.4% the previous month.
"The NFP number has come in above forecasts in eight cases
out of the last 10 ... makes it harder for the Fed to justify
rate cuts, as a tight labor market can easily increase
inflationary pressures," noted David Morrison, senior market
analyst at Trade Nation.
The ADP Employment report and weekly jobless claims earlier
this week signaled easing labor market conditions, while a
measure of services sector activity dropped to a four-year low
and factory orders slumped unexpectedly.
"Disappointing ISM Services PMI is another indication that
the economy is slowing down. Yet again, the Fed has to balance
the risk of cutting too soon, before inflation is properly
beaten, or leaving it too late and risking a recession,"
Morrison added.
Taking cues from the data points, market participants
strengthened their bets for this year's rate cuts.
Chances of a 25-basis-point cut in September had risen to
68% from last week's 58%, as per CME Group's FedWatch Tool.
At 5:11 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 25 points, or
0.06%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 2.25 points, or 0.04%,
and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 21 points, or 0.1%.
The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq notched record closing highs in
Wednesday's holiday-shortened trading. With the equity market
also staying shut for U.S. Independence Day on Thursday, trading
volumes have been light throughout the week.
All the three major Wall Street indexes are poised for
weekly gains, after high-momentum top technology stocks steered
the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq to strong gains in the first half of
the year.
Remarks by New York Fed President John Williams, during the
day, will also be monitored after the Fed's June policy meeting
minutes showed officials acknowledged a slowing economy and
diminishing price pressures, yet counseling a wait-and-see
approach before committing to rate cuts.
Among early premarket movers, Tesla rose 1.7% after
hitting its highest level since early January on Wednesday.
Macy's climbed 2% after a media report said Arkhouse
Management and Brigade Capital Management raised their bid to
buy the department store chain for about $6.9 billion.
Cryptocurrency-related stocks including Coinbase Global ( COIN )
, Riot Platforms ( RIOT ) and Marathon Digital ( MARA )
lost 7%-8% after bitcoin slumped to an over four-month
low as traders fretted over the likely dumping of tokens from
defunct Japanese exchange Mt. Gox and further selling by
leveraged players.
(Reporting by Ankika Biswas in Bengaluru; Editing by Saumyadeb
Chakrabarty)