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Futures up: Dow 0.46%, S&P 500 0.57%, Nasdaq 0.75%
Jan 2 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures edged higher
before the first trading session of 2025, with investors hoping
a new political landscape and more interest rate cuts will
enliven corporate and economic performance.
At 05:23 a.m. ET on Thursday, Dow E-minis were up
198 points, or 0.46%, S&P 500 E-minis were up 34 points,
or 0.57%, and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 160.25 points,
or 0.75%.
Wall Street's main indexes logged stellar gains in 2024 and
the benchmark S&P 500 notched its best two-year run since
1997-1998.
The main catalysts were the Fed easing interest rates for
the first time in four years, investor hype around artificial
intelligence and expectations of companies potentially
benefiting from President-elect Donald Trump's policies.
Equity valuations are sitting above their long-term
averages, but could be justified if corporate profits stay
strong. Earnings per share for S&P 500 companies are projected
to rise 10.67% in 2025, according to data compiled by LSEG.
Brokerages expect the S&P 500 to touch levels between 6,000
and 7,000 points this year, up from Tuesday's close of 5,881.
However, 2024's surge ended with the benchmark index and the
Dow posting monthly declines in December as markets
priced in Trump's proposals on corporate tax cuts, loose
regulations, stricter immigration laws and tariffs to be
inflationary and likely to slow down the pace of the Fed's
monetary policy easing this year.
With inflation still above the 2% target, traders see the
central bank leaving interest rates unchanged at its meeting
later this month, and expect borrowing costs to be lowered by a
total of 50 basis points by year-end, according to the CME
Group's FedWatch Tool.
Markets also weighed the likelihood that the new
administration could issue more debt to finance its policies,
which could worsen market volatility. The yield on the 10-year
benchmark Treasury note hovered near its eight-month high.
"Investors are hopeful that a goldilocks scenario will be
the story of 2025, amid promises of lower taxes and the
deregulation under a second Trump presidency," said Susannah
Streeter, head of money and markets at Hargreaves Lansdown.
"But with fresh trade wars looming, if the worst of the
tariff threats are imposed, the bears could be back to disrupt
what has been a fairytale performance for the U.S. stock
market."
On Thursday, traders will be eying a report on weekly
jobless claims, followed by a final estimate on manufacturing
activity in December, but the main focus will be a slew of labor
market data next week.
In premarket trading, Tesla added 1.3% ahead of the
release of its quarterly deliveries numbers.
Among other megacaps, Meta and Amazon.com ( AMZN )
added 0.8% each, while chip stocks Nvidia ( NVDA ) and Broadcom ( AVGO )
climbed 1% and 1.9%, respectively.
These stocks were among the ones behind the S&P 500 Growth
index's 35% jump in 2024. The Value index rose 9.8%.
SoFi Technologies ( SOFI ) dropped 2.4% after brokerage KBW
downgraded the stock to "underperform" from "market perform".
In a week shortened by Wednesday's New Year's holiday,
trading volumes are expected to be light.