(For a Reuters live blog on U.S., UK and European stock

markets, click LIVE/ or type LIVE/ in a news window)

*

Futures down: S&P 500 2.26%, Nasdaq 100 2.34%, Dow 2.38%

*

Howmet Aerospace ( HWM ) falls on report it may halt orders if hit

by

tariffs

*

S&P 500, Dow futures down 20% from record highs

*

Goldman Sachs raises odds of US recession

(Updates with analyst comment, fresh prices)

By Pranav Kashyap

April 7 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures slumped on

Monday and the S&P 500 was poised to confirm a bear market as

investors barreled into government bonds on worries over the

fallout of U.S. President Donald Trump's sweeping tariff plans.

The 10-year U.S. Treasury yields fell to 3.954%,

with investors pricing in a chance of a fifth interest-rate cut

from the Federal Reserve this year.

S&P 500 futures plunged more than 20% from their peak,

suggesting the benchmark index is heading toward bear

market territory. If the index ends down 20% from its all-time

closing highs, it would confirm the index has been in a bear

market since February.

Dow futures also fell 20% from their peak.

Trump announced hefty tariffs against U.S. trading partners

last week, sparking retaliation from China and fueling concerns

that the trade war will impede economic growth and stoke

inflationary pressures.

In the two sessions after Trump's tariff decision, the S&P

500 has tumbled 10.5%, erasing nearly $5 trillion in market

value, marking its most significant two-day loss since March

2020.

Trump told reporters late on Sunday that investors must

endure the consequences and that he would refrain from

negotiating with China until the U.S. trade deficit is

addressed.

"People are pulling out and holding it in cash and are going

to be sitting on it for a little bit," Daniela Hathorn, senior

market analyst at Capital.com, said.

"They'll be assessing what's going on before hedging,

because everything is dropping. This sticky environment doesn't

seem like it can recover anytime."

By 6:22 a.m. ET (1122 GMT), U.S. S&P 500 E-minis

were down 115.25 points, or 2.26%, Nasdaq 100 E-minis

were down 411 points, or 2.34%, Dow E-minis were down

916 points, or 2.38%.

Futures tracking the U.S. small-cap Russell 2000 index

tumbled 4.5%, underscoring concerns about the health of

the domestic economy.

The CBOE Volatility Index, seen as Wall Street's fear

gauge, was up 7.57 points to 52.88.

Stocks fell across the board in premarket trade, with

megacaps continuing to bear the brunt. Apple ( AAPL ) fell 2.5%,

Nvidia ( NVDA ) lost 2.7%, while Amazon.com ( AMZN ) shed 2.4%.

Howmet Aerospace ( HWM ) dropped 6.5%, after a report said

the aircraft parts supplier may halt some shipments if they are

impacted by Trump's tariffs.

The sharp declines in the past two sessions pushed the

tech-heavy Nasdaq into bear market, while the Dow Jones

Industrial Average slumped more than 10% from its

record-closing high.

The fear of a tariff-led recession caused markets to bring

into play the chances of an interest-rate cut in May, with

traders seeing a 54% possibility, according to data compiled by

LSEG.

Goldman Sachs raised the odds of a U.S. recession to 45%

from 35%, the second time it has increased its forecast in a

week amid a growing chorus of such predictions by investment

banks due to an escalating trade war.

Several speeches by Fed officials are slated throughout the

week, with markets keenly observing any signals of recessionary

fears.

The week ahead is also packed with a series of economic

indicators, with consumer price data set to take center stage on

Thursday.