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US STOCKS-Markets set for lower open as investors dial back bets on Fed rate cuts this year
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US STOCKS-Markets set for lower open as investors dial back bets on Fed rate cuts this year
Jan 13, 2025 6:30 AM

(For a Reuters live blog on U.S., UK and European stock

markets, click/ or type LIVE/ in a news window.)

*

Moderna ( MRNA ) slides after cutting 2025 sales forecast

*

Chip stocks fall as US tightens grip on AI chip flows

*

Futures off: Dow 0.05%, S&P 500 0.59%, Nasdaq 0.91%

(Updates before markets open)

By Johann M Cherian and Sukriti Gupta

Jan 13 (Reuters) -

Wall Street's main indexes were on track to open lower on

Monday as yields surged after robust payroll numbers last week,

boosting expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain a

hawkish stance for most of 2025.

At 08:42 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 23

points, or 0.05%, S&P 500 E-minis were down 34.75

points, or 0.59% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 191.25

points, or 0.91%.

Wall Street's fear gauge rose 1.63 points to hit

a more than three-week high.

Futures tracking the domestically sensitive Russell 2000

index declined 1% to their lowest since September 2024.

The index fell more than 2% into correction territory on

Friday, from the intraday high it had hit in late November.

The main indexes logged their second consecutive week of

declines in the previous session after multiple

better-than-expected reports, including one on employment and

another on services activity, raised expectations that inflation

could be running high in the world's largest economy.

Investors also priced in the likelihood that the incoming

Donald Trump administration's policies - such as tariffs and a

clampdown on illegal immigration - could threaten global trade

and fuel price pressures at a time when the U.S. central bank

has also signaled a cloudy outlook for monetary policy. Trump is

expected to take office on Jan. 20.

After an initial spike, yields on longer-dated Treasury

bonds are pinned at multi-month highs.

At one point, traders were no longer fully pricing in

even one Fed rate cut this year, according to

data compiled by LSEG

, from about 43 basis points before Friday's job figures.

Bets currently reflect expectations of a 28.4 bps easing by the

Fed's December meeting.

"The robust labour market, along with the recent pickup in

inflation, are both making it difficult for the Federal Reserve

to justify further rate cuts," David Morrison, senior market

analyst at Trade Nation said in a note.

"Inflation had already started to creep up again, even

as the Fed cut rates by a bumper 50 basis points in September -

something that looks like a serious policy mistake, compounded

by additional cuts in November and December," Morrison said.

The Consumer Price Index figure and the central bank's Beige

Book on economic activity, both due on Wednesday, could help

investors gauge the central bank's policy outlook.

The risk-off stance hit megacaps, which have led much of the

rally in U.S. stocks over the last two years. Tesla

slid 2.8%, Amazon.com ( AMZN ) dropped 0.4% and Alphabet

lost 0.5% in premarket trading.

Chip stocks such as Nvidia ( NVDA ) dropped 2.9%, Advanced

Micro Devices ( AMD ) fell 1.4% and Broadcom ( AVGO ) lost 2.1%

after the U.S. government said it would further restrict

artificial-intelligence chip and technology exports.

Moderna ( MRNA ) slid 19.5% after cutting its 2025 sales

forecast by $1 billion, hurt by the slow launch of its

respiratory syncytial virus shot and weak demand for COVID-19

vaccines.

Lululemon Athletica ( LULU ) added 2.8% after raising

its current-quarter sales targets.

Major lenders JPMorgan Chase & Co ( JPM ), Wells Fargo ( WFC )

, Goldman Sachs ( GS ) and Citigroup ( C/PN ) are due to

report results on Wednesday.

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