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Indexes up: Dow 0.86%, S&P 500 0.44%, Nasdaq 0.39%
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Traders fully price in 25 bps Fed rate cut in September
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CBOE volatility index hits lowest level since January
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CoreWeave ( CRWV ) falls after larger-than-expected Q2 net loss
(Updates for market open)
By Johann M Cherian and Sanchayaita Roy
Aug 13 (Reuters) -
The benchmark S&P 500 and the Nasdaq hit record highs on
Wednesday, underpinned by gains in megacap companies as
investors were increasingly confident that the Federal Reserve
could restart its monetary policy easing cycle next month.
Signs that U.S. tariffs on imports have not fully
filtered into
headline consumer prices
came as a relief for investors this week as they scour for
insights on the impact trade uncertainty has had on the economy.
Despite data showing underlying price pressures were on
the rise, markets also factored in recent weakness in the job
market and a shake-up at the Federal Reserve as they leaned in
favor of a potential dovish move by the central bank in
September.
Traders are now fully pricing in a 25 basis points
interest rate cut, according to the CME's FedWatch Tool, up from
89.2% last week. The central bank last lowered borrowing costs
in December.
"We're pretty much certain that we'll have at least 25
basis points of rate cuts in the month of September," said
Thomas Hayes, chairman at Great Hill Capital LLC in NY, and
noted that the Fed would have to respond to labor market
weakness.
At 09:59 a.m. ET, the Dow Jones Industrial Average
rose 379.32 points, or 0.86%, to 44,839.44, the S&P 500
gained 28.17 points, or 0.44%, to 6,474.20 and the Nasdaq
Composite gained 84.32 points, or 0.39%, to 21,766.23.
Ten of the 11 S&P 500 sectors were higher, led by
consumer discretionary that gained 1.1%, with
Amazon.com ( AMZN ) and Tesla up over 1.5% each.
The blue-chip Dow was less than 1% away from an
all-time high and the Russell 2000 index, which tracks
rate-sensitive small-cap companies, added 0.8% to hit a
six-month high.
"Rates coming down will also help (small-cap companies)
refinance their debt loads, which is very positive for a lot of
the laggard stocks that haven't moved as much in this big move
off the April lows," Hayes said.
The CBOE volatility index, popularly referred to as
Wall Street's fear gauge, dropped to 14.46 - its lowest since
January.
Later in the day, investors will scrutinize remarks of a
number of policymakers, especially Chicago Fed President Austan
Goolsbee - a Federal Open Market Committee voting member this
year.
Earnings are also in focus. CoreWeave ( CRWV ), which is
backed by Nvidia ( NVDA ), slumped 12% after the AI data center
operator reported a bigger-than-expected quarterly net loss.
Eyes are also on developments surrounding the China
revenue-sharing deal the U.S. government signed with chipmakers
like Nvidia ( NVDA ) and Advanced Micro Devices ( AMD ), which the White
House said
could be expanded
to others in the sector. Nvidia ( NVDA ) was flat, while Advanced
Micro Devices ( AMD ) rose 5.8%.
Paramount Skydance ( PSKY ) jumped 19% and is up over
24% this week. The company won
exclusive broadcasting rights
to the Ultimate Fighting Championship for seven years
earlier this week.
In geopolitics, Donald Trump and European leaders are
expected to hold a virtual meeting on the Russo-Ukraine
conflict, two days before the U.S. president meets Russian
President Vladimir Putin.
Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 3.82-to-1 ratio
on the NYSE and by a 2.45-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq.
The S&P 500 posted 32 new 52-week highs and two new
lows, while the Nasdaq Composite recorded 110 new highs and 36
new lows.