(For a Reuters live blog on U.S., UK and European stock
markets, click or type LIVE/ in a news window.)
* Futures down: Dow 0.50%, S&P 500 0.63%, Nasdaq 0.72%
Mar 23 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures fell on
Monday as the Middle East conflict intensified with energy
infrastructure under threat, sending oil prices surging and
pushing investors to reprice U.S. interest rate cut
expectations.
Iran will attack Israel's power plants and plants supplying
U.S. bases in the Gulf if U.S. President Donald Trump carries
out his threat to "obliterate" Iran's power network, the
country's Revolutionary Guards said in a statement.
Oil prices rose again, with U.S. crude futures up 3%
to over $100 a barrel, reviving inflation fears and putting
central banks in a tough spot with regard to monetary policy.
Investors swiftly dialed back expectations of Federal
Reserve interest rate cuts last week, not pricing any easing
this year, compared with two cuts before the war broke out, as
per CME Group's FedWatch Tool.
They also see a more than 50% chance of a rate hike in the
latter half of the year, compared with bets for tighter policy
at the beginning of last week. The repricing was partially aided
by a hawkish tone struck by the Fed at its meeting last week,
where it projected higher inflation and a single reduction in
rates in 2026.
"If oil and gas prices remain at current levels for the rest
of the year, central banks will have to weigh the pros and cons
of rate cuts versus hikes. If the war ends by June..., there is
little reason for central banks to hike rates in 2026," said Ed
Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research.
At 04:43 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 230 points,
or 0.5%, S&P 500 E-minis were down 41.25 points, or
0.63%, and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 174.25 points,
or 0.72%.
The CBOE Volatility Index - Wall Street's fear gauge
- hit its highest level in two weeks and was last up 3.37 points
at 30.15.
Energy stocks in the U.S. gained in premarket trading, with
Exxon Mobil ( XOM ) and Chevron ( CVX ) adding about 1% each and
Occidental Petroleum ( OXY ) up 1.5%.
Wall Street's main indexes marked their fourth week of
declines on Friday, with the Nasdaq logging its biggest weekly
drop since early February.
The small-cap Russell 2000, sensitive to higher
interest rates, ended over 10% below its record close of January
22 on Friday, confirming it had been in correction territory.
Futures tracking the index were down 1.2% on Monday.
In an otherwise data-light week, investors will parse
through business activity surveys and consumer sentiment
readings this week.
Among individual stocks, Synopsys ( SNPS ) gained 2% before
the bell, after activist investor Elliott Investment Management
built a multibillion-dollar investment in the electronic design
automation firm.
U.S.-listed shares of precious metal miners slid tracking a
slide in gold and silver prices. Newmont ( NEM )
dropped 6.1%, Barrick Mining ( B ) lost 5.4% and
Endeavour Silver ( EXK ) shed 7.8%.