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Trump Media ( DJT ), crypto stocks, prison operators jump
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Goldman Sachs ( GS ) rises after results
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Macy's falls after ending discussions with Arkhouse and
Brigade
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Indexes up: Dow 0.53%, S&P 0.28%, Nasdaq 0.40%
(Updates as of 4:12 p.m. EDT, adds market details after close)
By Stephen Culp
NEW YORK, July 15 (Reuters) - Wall Street closed higher
on Monday, building on Friday's rally as increasing expectations
of a second Donald Trump presidency in the wake of a failed
assassination attempt raised hopes of a looser regulatory
environment.
The growing probability that the U.S. Federal Reserve will
begin cutting its key interest rate as soon as September also
helped feed risk appetite.
While all three major U.S. stock indexes ended well below
session highs, the Dow Jones Industrial Average notched an
all-time closing high.
Economically sensitive small caps and transportation
stocks handily outperformed the broader market.
An assassination attempt in Pennsylvania on Saturday of
Trump, the presumptive Republican nominee for president,
appeared to improve his chances for election. A Trump presidency
would presumably result in a more hawkish trade policy, an
extension of tax cuts and deregulation in a host of areas
ranging from climate change to cryptocurrencies.
Online betting site PredictIt showed bets of an election win
at 67 cents for Trump, up from Friday's 60 cents, with a victory
for Democratic U.S. President Joe Biden at 26 cents.
"The headline event - the attempted assassination of Donald
Trump - did not result in a bottom line event," said Sam
Stovall, chief investment strategist of CFRA Research in New
York. "There's no change to GDP forecasts, no change to
expectations that the Fed will start to cut rates in September,
corporate profits are coming in ahead of expectations."
"So the momentum in the market remains based on investor
optimism," Stovall added.
Sentiment was also buoyed by optimism that the U.S. Federal
Reserve will enter its expected interest rate cutting phase as
early as September, with as many as three total cuts by the end
of the year.
"A September (rate) cut has been all but cemented," said
Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst at Baird in
Louisville, Kentucky. "We're sitting almost exactly where we
were seven months ago, which is the promise of Fed rate cuts
without a recession. It's still very much predicated to the Fed
coming to the party."
Speaking before the Economic Club of Washington, Fed Chair
Jerome Powell reiterated on Monday his belief that the U.S.
economy can avoid recession, and recent data readings show
progress in bringing inflation down to the central bank's 2%
goal.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 210.82 points,
or 0.53%, to 40,211.72, the S&P 500 gained 15.87 points,
or 0.28%, to 5,631.22 and the Nasdaq Composite added
74.12 points, or 0.40%, to 18,472.57.
Among the 11 major sectors of the S&P 500, energy shares
enjoyed the biggest percentage gain, while utilities
were laggards.
Goldman Sachs' ( GS ) second-quarter profit more than
doubled, beating analyst estimates on solid debt underwriting
and fixed-income trading. The broker's shares advanced 2.6%.
Shares of Macy's Inc dropped 11.7% after the
department store scrapped buyout talks with Arkhouse Management
and Brigade Capital.
The prospect of a second Trump presidency sent shares of
Trump Media & Technology Group ( DJT ) soaring 31.4%.
Crypto stocks also fared well, with Coinbase Global ( COIN )
, Marathon Digital Holdings ( MARA ) and Riot Platforms ( RIOT )
up between 11.4% and 18.3%.
Other stocks that are expected to benefit from Trump's
possible second term climbed, with gunmaker Smith & Wesson
and prison operator GEO Group ( GEO ) gaining 11.4% and
9.3%, respectively.
On the downside, solar energy firms slid as the prospect of
Trump's election dimmed expectations for renewable energy U.S.
subsidies.
Shares of Sunrun ( RUN ) and SolarEdge Technologies ( SEDG )
tumbled 9.0% and 15.4%, respectively.
U.S.-listed shares of Chinese companies also declined on
fears of tightened trade restrictions under another Trump
administration.
IShares China Largecap ETF fell 2.2%.
Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a
1.35-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.50-to-1 ratio favored advancers.
The S&P 500 posted 65 new 52-week highs and 4 new lows; the
Nasdaq Composite recorded 203 new highs and 33 new lows.
Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.07 billion shares, compared
with the 11.59 billion average for the full session over the
last 20 trading days.