* Futures up: Dow 0.73%, S&P 500 0.68%, Nasdaq 0.56%
* McCormick ( MKC ) gains after Unilever ( UL ) nears deal to merge food
business
* JOLTS data, Fed speakers on deck later in the day
(Updates with prices, analyst comment)
By Purvi Agarwal and Twesha Dikshit
March 31 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures gained on
Tuesday, as markets welcomed a report signaling potential
de-escalation in the Middle East conflict that has set the S&P
500 and the Dow on course for their biggest monthly decline in
years.
The Wall Street Journal reported on Monday U.S. President
Donald Trump told aides he was willing to end the military
campaign against Iran even if the Strait of Hormuz remained
largely closed.
The report soothed some investor nerves after a month-long
conflict that has battered global markets and left the S&P 500
and the Dow on track for their largest monthly falls since
September 2022. The benchmark S&P 500 was also headed for its
worst quarter since 2022.
Oil prices were volatile on Tuesday, but were headed for a
record monthly gain. The S&P 500 energy index has gained
more than 11% so far in March, the only sector set to end the
month in positive territory.
Last week, the Dow and the Nasdaq ended 10% below their
record high closes, confirming a correction. The small-cap
Russell 2000 confirmed it earlier this month.
"If the disruption persists, feeding through into higher
costs, tighter financial conditions, and weaker growth, the
market risks transitioning from a technical reset into a more
prolonged adjustment," said Tom Nelson, head of market
strategyat Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions.
At 06:54 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 333 points, or
0.73%, S&P 500 E-minis were up 43.25 points, or 0.68%,
and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 129.75 points, or 0.56%.
Investors will also watch out for the job openings and labor
turnover survey (JOLTS) data for February, the first of the
labor market reports due in the holiday-shortened week.
Comments from Fed policymakers, including Austan Goolsbee
and Michelle Bowman, will also be parsed for any clues on the
Federal Reserve's monetary policy path after Chair Jerome Powell
said on Monday the Fed can wait to assess the impact from the
war.
The oil spike stemming from the Iran conflict has revived
inflation worries, prompting money market participants to price
out any easing from the Fed this year, compared with two cuts
expected before the war broke out, per CME Group's FedWatch
Tool.
Isabella Mateos Y Lago, an economist at BNP Paribas, said
investors were not expecting the war to cause meaningful damage
to growth, with many analysts sticking to their pre-war end-2026
U.S. index targets, and making little downgrades to earnings
forecasts, as cash holdings remained below Trump's tariff
announcement levels.
Among premarket movers, McCormick ( MKC ) shares gained 4.8%
after Unilever ( UL ) said it was in advanced talks to combine
its food business with the spice maker.
Constellation Energy ( CEG ) dipped 1.9% after forecasting
2026 profit below Wall Street expectations.
(Reporting by Purvi Agarwal and Twesha Dikshit in Bengaluru;
Editing by Shinjini Ganguli and Devika Syamnath)