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BofA expects Fed to go for 75-bp cut in Q4
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US big banks rise after Fed's jumbo rate cut
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Weekly jobless claims stand at 219,000
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Futures up: Dow 1.13%, S&P 500 1.58%, Nasdaq 2.14%
(Updated at 8:36 a.m. ET/1236 GMT)
By Johann M Cherian and Purvi Agarwal
Sept 19 (Reuters) - Wall Street was set to rally on
Thursday, with the benchmark S&P 500 poised to notch a record
high after the Federal Reserve kicked off its easing cycle with
half-a-percentage point reduction and forecast more cuts were on
the horizon.
Rate-sensitive growth stocks that have led much of this
year's rally such as Microsoft ( MSFT ) added 1.6%, while Meta
and Alphabet advanced 2.4% each in premarket
trading.
Semiconductor stocks also climbed. Nvidia ( NVDA ) rose
3.3%, while Advanced Micro Devices ( AMD ) gained 3.6% and
Broadcom ( AVGO ) added 3.8% with the broader market.
Futures tracking the domestically focused Russell 2000 index
shot up 2.7% to touch levels last seen on July 31.
A lower interest environment could mean prospects of lower
operating costs and greater profits for credit-dependent
companies.
At 08:36 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 470
points, or 1.13%, S&P 500 E-minis were up 89.75 points,
or 1.58% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 418.75 points,
or 2.14%.
After delivering its super-sized verdict on Thursday, the
Fed forecast rates to fall by another 50 bps by year-end. The
central bank also unveiled macroeconomic projections that
analysts say reflect a goldilocks scenario, where growth is
steady and inflation and unemployment stay low.
On the data front, jobless claims for the week ended
Sept. 14 stood at 219,000, lower than economists' estimates of
230,000.
"There's a delayed reaction to the Fed's rate cut ...
the claims came in low, so it's only going to help fuel the idea
that a soft landing is in play," said Ross Mayfield, investment
strategist at Baird.
"The guidance for plenty more cuts by the end of 2025
should open up (rate sensitive) sectors to reengage and expand."
Traders now see a 66.4% chance that the central bank will
lower interest rates by 25 basis points at its November meeting,
as per the CME Group's FedWatch tool.
BofA Global Research now anticipates a total of 75 bps rate
cuts by the end of this year, compared with 50 bps forecast
earlier. Citigroup ( C/PN ) revised its rate-cut expectations for
December to a smaller 25 bps, from a forecast of a bigger move.
Goldman Sachs now expects consecutive 25 bps cuts from
November 2024 through June 2025.
Market reaction in the aftermath of the decision was muted,
with all the three indexes closing slightly lower in the
previous session.
However, data going back to 1970 from Evercore ISI showed
the S&P 500 has posted an average 14% gain in the six months
following the first reduction of a rate-cutting cycle.
September has generally been a disappointing month for U.S.
equities with the S&P 500 notching an average loss of
1.2% since 1928. The benchmark index has logged losses so far
this month.
JPMorgan Chase & Co ( JPM ) added 1.3%, Bank of America ( BAC )
climbed 1.5% and Wells Fargo ( WFC ) advanced 1.8% after
the big banks lowered their respective prime rates. Citigroup ( C/PN )
also rose 1.9% after cutting its base lending rate.
Progyny ( PGNY ) was among a few stocks that traded
lower. The fertility benefits management firm plunged 24% after
a significant client notified the company it had elected to
exercise a 90-day option to terminate its services agreement.