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March CPI at 3.5% YoY vs 3.4% estimate
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Bets for June rate cut dwindle
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Fed minutes show worry of stalled inflation progress
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Indexes down: Dow 1.15%, S&P 0.96%, Nasdaq 0.90%
(Updates to 14:13 EDT)
By Stephen Culp
NEW YORK, April 10 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks tumbled on
Wednesday after hotter-than-expected inflation data threw cold
water on hopes the Federal Reserve would enter its monetary
policy easing phase soon.
All three major U.S. stock indexes veered sharply lower at
the opening bell following the Labor Department's Consumer Price
Index (CPI) report, which landed north of consensus and offered
a reminder that inflation's road back down to the Fed's 2%
target will continue to be a long and meandering one.
Minutes from the Fed's March policy meeting reflected
officials' concerns that inflation's progress toward that target
might have stalled, and restrictive monetary policy may need to
be maintained for longer than anticipated.
Equity prices were further pressured by benchmark Treasury
yields, which breached 4.5% to touch its highest level since
November.
Interest rate-sensitive stocks were hardest hit, with real
estate primed for its biggest one-day percentage drop
since June 2022.
Housing stocks were on course for their biggest daily
decline since Jan. 23 and the Russell 2000 was set for
its steepest one-day slide since Feb. 13.
The CPI report "was really important regarding expectations
for Fed rate cuts for the remainder of this year," Thomas
Martin, Senior Portfolio Manager at GLOBALT in Atlanta. "And it
went off according to script; that if there was a meaningful
surprise to the upside, which there was, the markets would react
the way they did."
The CPI data prompted markets to reset expectations
regarding the timing and extent of Fed rate cuts.
Financial markets have now priced in a dwindling 19.3%
likelihood of a 25 basis point rate cut in June, down from 56.0%
just prior to the report's release, according to CME's FedWatch
tool.
"I think a July rate cut is still possible," said Oliver
Pursche, senior vice president at Wealthspire Advisors, in New
York. "There are several key data points that will be coming in
before then, but I would be surprised if A) there was a June cut
and B) if there will be more than two cuts this year."
At 2:13PM ET, the Dow Jones Industrial Average
fell 445.87 points, or 1.15%, to 38,437.8, the S&P 500
lost 49.82 points, or 0.96%, to 5,160.09 and the Nasdaq
Composite dropped 146.25 points, or 0.9%, to 16,160.39.
Of the 11 major sectors of the S&P 500, all but energy were
red, with real estate shares suffering the steepest decline.
Most megacap growth stocks slipped with the exception of
Nvidia Inc, which bucked the trend by rising 1.7%.
U.S.-listed shares of Alibaba ( BABA ) advanced 1.8% after
the company's co-founder Jack Ma released a memo to employees on
expressing support for the internet giant's restructuring
efforts - a rare move from the billionaire who has spent the
last few years away from the spotlight.
Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE
by a 6.84-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 3.76-to-1 ratio favored
decliners.
The S&P 500 posted three new 52-week highs and 8 new lows;
the Nasdaq Composite recorded 29 new highs and 152 new lows.
Investors will now focus on Thursday's producer prices
report for a clearer picture of March inflation, and the
unofficial kick-off of first quarter earnings season. On Friday,
a trio of big banks - JPMorgan Chase & Co ( JPM ), Citigroup Inc ( C/PN )
and Wells Fargo & Co ( WFC ) - are slated to post results.
Analysts expect aggregate S&P 500 earnings in the first
quarter to grow 5.0% from last year, according to LSEG data.
That is lower than the 7.2% annual earnings growth for the
quarter forecast on Jan. 1.