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Producer inflation rises more than expected in July
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Markets reduce Fed rate-cut expectations for 2025
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Deere, Tapestry flag strains from US tariffs
(Updates with close)
By Saeed Azhar, Johann M Cherian and Sanchayaita Roy
NEW YORK, Aug 14 (Reuters) -
Wall Street's main indexes were mixed on Thursday with S&P
500 edging up to a closing high, while Dow Jones and Nasdaq were
flat, after a hotter-than-expected producer prices report
dampened expectations of potential interest-rate cuts.
A Labor Department report showed producer prices increased
the most in three years in July due to a surge in the costs of
goods and services, suggesting a broad pickup in inflation was
imminent.
Traders trimmed their Fed rate-cut expectations for the rest
of the year to about 56.7 basis points, according to data
compiled by LSEG, compared with around 63 bps before the report.
But they are still fully pricing in a
quarter-percentage-point cut in September.
"The implication is that the Fed is going to offer a
25-(basis point) cut in September. But it will be a hawkish cut.
It's way too early still for the Fed to wish to guide the market
towards an extended easing cycle," said Thierry Wizman, global
FX and rates strategist at Macquarie Group.
"The next important thing will be the Expenditures Price
Index later this month. If there are signals that there's
inflation broadly in services, the market will take that
adversely."
A separate report on Thursday showed the number of Americans
filing new applications for jobless benefits fell last week.
According to preliminary data, the S&P 500
gained 1.69 points, or 0.03%, to end at 6,468.27 points,
while the Nasdaq Composite lost 1.80 points, or 0.01%,
to 21,711.34. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 19.70
points, or 0.04%, to 44,902.57.
Recent data reflecting labor market weakness and a moderate
rise in consumer prices had strengthened expectations that the
central bank will potentially lower interest rates next month.
However, Thursday's report fanned concerns that U.S. tariffs
on imports could start to impact prices in the coming months and
dampen a rally in U.S. stocks that had helped the benchmark S&P
500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq log record highs over
the past two sessions.
"U.S. stocks are pricy," said Sam Stovall, chief investment
strategist CFRA Research.
The S&P 500 index is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of
23 based on forward estimates, or a near-40% premium to its
20-year average, he said.
The hotter-than-expected PPI report now has investors
pulling petals from a daisy saying "They (the Fed) will cut
rates, they won't cut rates," he added.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem, a voting member on
the Federal Open Market Committee this year, said a half-point
rate cut at the Fed's September meeting is not warranted, a day
after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said it was possible.
Cisco Systems ( CSCO ) declined after the network equipment
manufacturer's broadly in-line forecast did little to encourage
investors.
Deere & Co ( DE ) fell after the farm-equipment maker
reported a lower quarterly profit and tightened its annual
profit forecast, while Tapestry plunged after the Coach
handbag maker forecast annual profit below estimates.
Both companies warned of tariffs impacting their businesses.
In geopolitics, focus will be on President Donald Trump's
upcoming meeting with Russia's President Vladimir Putin as he
seeks to achieve a halt to the Ukraine conflict.