*
Indexes up: Dow 0.94%, S&P 500 0.80%, Nasdaq 0.97%
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Bank stocks rise as Fed proposes relaxed leverage rules
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Economic data shows mixed signals with durable goods
orders up,
GDP down
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Record copper prices send Freeport-McMoRan, Southern
Copper
higher
(Updates with closing prices)
By Stephen Culp
NEW YORK, June 26 (Reuters) - Wall Street closed higher
on Thursday, nudging the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq nearer to record
closing highs as the Israel-Iran ceasefire continued to hold and
a raft of economic indicators appeared to support the case for
the U.S. Federal Reserve lowering borrowing costs this year.
All three major U.S. stock indexes advanced in a broad rally
which placed them on track for weekly gains.
The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq are now within a hair's breadth
of all-time closing highs, and as the seconds ticked down to the
closing bell, it looked as if those records could be reached.
"Clearly, the pull forward of rate cuts into 2025 is one of
the more significant factors" of the market's price action,
says Bill Northey, senior investment director at U.S. Bank
Wealth Management, Billings, Montana. "Expectations now point to
three rate cuts this year."
Bank stocks outperformed after the Fed unveiled a proposal
to relax its leverage rules, which would ease the capital that
big banks are required to hold against relatively low-risk
assets.
The S&P 500 banks index advanced 1.6%.
"This administration came in promising deregulation," said
Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst at Baird in
Louisville, Kentucky. "And this is not just an example of that,
but kind of a signpost that there could be more to come."
Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin cautioned against
taking options off the table amid ongoing economic uncertainty,
but added that he did not expect tariffs to be "as inflationary
as a lot of people worry about."
A muted tariff effect could help make the case for a rate
cut this fall, according to San Francisco Fed President Mary
Daly. Boston Fed President Susan Collins said on Wednesday she's
leaning toward a rate cut later this year amid an uncertain
economic outlook.
These remarks follow Fed Chair Jerome Powell's two-day
congressional testimony, at which he reiterated the central
bank's wait-and-see policy stance with respect to rate cuts and
economic tariff effects.
Financial markets are currently pricing in nearly a 21%
likelihood of a 25 basis point reduction the Fed Funds target
rate at the July Fed meeting, and more than a 75% probability
that this year's first rate cut will come in September,
according to CME's FedWatch tool.
"As we look at economic data, including the labor market,
economic activity and price levels, we see that some additional
easing is appropriate through the end of this year," Northey
added. "The question remains around both magnitude and
importantly timing of the first cut."
Last week, the Fed released its updated Summary of Economic
Projections, which showed policymakers anticipate cutting the
key policy rate by about half a percentage point by year-end.
A spate of economic data showed first quarter GDP contracted
more than previously reported due to weaker than expected
consumer spending, while ongoing jobless claims reaching
multi-year highs, suggesting potential cracks appearing in the
labor market.
On the other hand, new orders for durable goods and pending
home sales provided robust surprises to the upside.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 404.41
points, or 0.94%, to 43,386.84, the S&P 500 gained 48.86
points, or 0.80%, to 6,141.02 and the Nasdaq Composite
gained 194.36 points, or 0.97%, to 20,167.91.
Among the 11 major sectors of the S&P 500, communication
services enjoyed the largest percentage gains, while
real estate was the biggest laggard.
Micron forecast better-than-expected fourth quarter
revenue late Wednesday. Even so, the tech firm's shares dropped
1.0%.
Copper prices jumped to a three-month high, boosting miners
Freeport-McMoRan FCX.N and Southern Copper SCCO.N by 6.8% and
7.8%, respectively.
Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 4.76-to-1 ratio
on the NYSE. There were 338 new highs and 66 new lows on the
NYSE.
On the Nasdaq, 3,128 stocks rose and 1,359 fell as advancing
issues outnumbered decliners by a 2.3-to-1 ratio.
The S&P 500 posted 29 new 52-week highs and 6 new lows while
the Nasdaq Composite recorded 79 new highs and 67 new lows.
Volume on U.S. exchanges was 16.22 billion shares, compared
with the 18.10 billion average for the full session over the
last 20 trading days.