(Updates to market close)
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Deutsche Bank sees S&P 500 rising to 8,000 by 2026 end
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Bristol Myers gains after rival's positive late-stage data
By Stephen Culp
NEW YORK, Nov 24 (Reuters) - Wall Street stocks closed
higher on Monday, extending Friday's rally as increased odds
that the U.S. Federal Reserve will lower its Fed funds target
rate in December helped investors look past concerns about
inflated tech valuations.
U.S. indexes embarked on the holiday-shortened week with
solid gains, with strength in the "Magnificent Seven" group of
artificial-intelligence-related momentum stocks putting the
tech-heavy Nasdaq out front.
A spate of economic reports, belatedly released after the
recent six-week government shutdown, hinted at labor market
weakness and stubbornly elevated inflation, which has bolstered
investor optimism that the Fed will implement its third and
final interest rate cut of 2025 at the conclusion of its
December monetary meeting.
INVESTORS 'BREATHE SIGH OF RELIEF'
Dovish commentary from Fed Governor Christopher Waller, New York
Fed President John Williams, and San Francisco Fed President
Mary Daly lent some support to that optimism, although other
policymakers voiced dissenting opinions.
"The street is falling into the line of thinking that a
rate cut is coming in December," said Robert Pavlik, senior
portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth in Fairfield, Connecticut.
Financial markets are pricing in an 85% likelihood of that
occurring, up from 42.4% a week ago, according to CME's FedWatch
tool.
The release of economic data is set to continue this week,
with retail sales, producer prices, and new orders for durable
goods joining independent indicators such as Case-Shiller home
prices, the Conference Board's consumer confidence report and
the National Association of Realtors' pending home sales data.
Third-quarter reporting season is drawing to a close. As of
Friday, nearly 95% of the companies in the S&P 500 have
reported, 83% of which delivered better than expected earnings.
Analysts now expect third-quarter aggregate earnings growth of
14.7% for constituents of the bellwether index, a significant
improvement over the 8.8% estimate on October 1, according to
LSEG data.
According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 gained
101.11 points, or 1.53%, to end at 6,705.69 points, while the
Nasdaq Composite gained 597.01 points, or 2.68%, to
22,870.09. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 195.44
points, or 0.42%, to 46,440.85.
The U.S. holiday shopping season kicks off this week,
starting with Thursday's Thanksgiving holiday.
The health of the consumer, who shoulders about 70% of the
U.S. economy, will be assessed for any signs of weakness amid
increased layoff announcements and weak survey reports. Even
so, the National Retail Federation expects holiday sales to top
$1 trillion for the first time.
Earnings from consumer-oriented companies such as Best Buy ( BBY )
are expected later this week.
TECH VALUATION WORRIES LINGER
AI bellwether Nvidia's ( NVDA ) strong forecast last week failed
to assuage looming fears of a potential AI bubble.
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq remain on track for monthly losses.
Deutsche Bank helped revive investor risk appetite after
projecting the S&P 500 would reach 8,000 by the end of next
year, the most bullish forecast among major global brokerages.
Bristol Myers gained after European rival Bayer
unveiled positive late-stage data for its
cardiovascular drug, boosting confidence in Bristol Myers'
experimental drug milvexian.
Centene ( CNC ) and Oscar Health ( OSCR ) jumped following a
report that Trump is considering extending the Affordable Care
Act's subsidies for two years.