* Futures down: Dow 0.62%, S&P 500 0.47%, Nasdaq 0.44%
* Goldman Sachs delays next Fed rate-cut forecast to
September
* Oil surges to $100/barrel as tankers set ablaze in
Middle East
* Investors monitor private credit jitters
(Updates prices throughout)
By Johann M Cherian and Utkarsh Hathi
March 12 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures fell on
Thursday as oil prices surged past $100 a barrel, fanning
inflation worries and forcing traders to dial back expectations
of U.S. interest rate cuts.
Crude prices jumped after two tankers were set ablaze in
Iraqi waters in apparent Iranian strikes, as part of wider
attacks on oil and transport facilities across the Middle East.
Iran warned prices could surge as high as $200 a barrel.
S&P 500 airline stocks, highly sensitive to fuel
costs, are on track for their biggest monthly losses in a year.
American Airlines ( AAL ) and United were down over 2%
each in premarket trading on Thursday, along with cruise stocks
Norwegian and Royal Caribbean.
Energy companies Occidental and ConocoPhillips ( COP )
rose 1.8% and 1%, respectively.
Goldman Sachs has pushed back its forecast for the Federal
Reserve's next rate cut to September, from an earlier
expectation of June. Money market futures show traders now fully
price in only one quarter-point cut by December, down from two
cuts expected before the conflict.
"The problem is that investors are increasingly pricing in a
more protracted conflict that causes extensive economic damage,"
said a group of strategists led by Deutsche Bank's Jim Reid.
"After all, with no concrete signs of de-escalation yet,
that's keeping oil prices elevated, and raising the risk of a
broader stagflationary shock."
Global markets have been roiled this month as the
U.S.-Israel war with Iran has disrupted oil and gas supplies and
sent crude prices sharply higher, complicating global central
banks' plans to ease monetary policy.
The International Energy Agency said that the world is
facing the biggest oil supply disruption in history, with global
supply is expected to drop by 8 million barrels per day in
March.
At 7:21 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 293 points,
or 0.62%, and S&P 500 E-minis were down 32 points,
or 0.47%. Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 110 points,
or 0.44%.
The CBOE volatility index, Wall Street's fear gauge,
was up 1.08 points at 25.31, while futures tied to the
rate-sensitive Russell small-caps index lost 1%.
Investors are also scrutinizing the roughly $2 trillion
private credit market following a string of credit issues that
have surfaced in recent months, raising concerns over loan
performance and borrowers' ability to manage elevated interest
rates.
Swiss private equity firm Partners Group warned private
credit default rates could double in the next few years, and
Glendon Capital Management said private credit lenders such as
Blue Owl are obscuring weaknesses in their portfolios,
according to reports.
Morgan Stanley ( MS ) slipped 2% after limiting redemptions
at one of its private credit funds after similar actions by
Blackstone and Blackrock ( BLK ) earlier this month.
JPMorgan Chase ( JPM ) reduced the value of some loans to
private credit funds on Thursday.
Shares of Blackstone dropped 1.4%, while Blue Owl
lost 3%.
Additionally, Washington said it was launching two new trade
investigations into excess industrial capacity in 16 major
trading partners and into forced labor, in a long-telegraphed
move, to rebuild tariff pressure, after the Supreme Court tore
down much of President Donald Trump's tariff program last month.
Bumble jumped 25% on Thursday after the dating app
operator reported fourth-quarter revenue above estimates.
Dollar General ( DG ) fell 3.3% after the discount retailer
forecast annual comparable sales below estimates.
Later in the day, investors will gauge jobless claims and
comments from Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman,
ahead of Friday's personal consumption expenditure data - the
central bank's preferred inflation gauge.