* Futures down: Dow 0.55%, S&P 500 0.44%, Nasdaq 0.44%
* Goldman Sachs delays next Fed rate-cut forecast to
September
* Oil surges to $100/barrel as tankers set ablaze in
Middle East
* Trump administration starts trade probes into 16
trading partners
(Updates with premarket prices)
By Medha Singh and Johann M Cherian
March 12 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures fell on
Thursday as oil prices soared to around $100 a barrel, fanning
inflation worries and forcing traders to dial back expectations
of U.S. interest rate cuts.
Crude prices jumped following reports that two tankers were
set ablaze in Iraqi waters after apparent Iranian strikes, part
of a broader wave of attacks on oil and transport facilities
across the Middle East. Iran warned oil prices could surge as
high as $200 a barrel.
S&P 500 airline stocks, which are sensitive to
crude oil prices, are on track for their biggest monthly losses
in a year.
American Airlines ( AAL ) and Southwest ( LUV ) were down
over 1% each in premarket trading on Thursday, along with cruise
stocks Norwegian and Royal Caribbean.
Energy companies Occidental and EQT Corporation ( EQT )
were marginally higher.
Goldman Sachs has pushed back its forecast for the Federal
Reserve's next rate cut to September, from an earlier
expectation of June. Money market futures show traders now fully
price in only one quarter-point cut by December, down from two
cuts expected before the conflict.
"The problem is that investors are increasingly pricing in a
more protracted conflict that causes extensive economic damage,"
said a group of strategists led by Deutsche Bank's Jim Reid.
"After all, with no concrete signs of de-escalation yet,
that's keeping oil prices elevated, and raising the risk of a
broader stagflationary shock."
Global markets have been roiled this month as the U.S. and
Israel's war with Iran disrupted oil supplies and sent crude
prices sharply higher, complicating global central banks' plans
to ease monetary policy.
At 4:49 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 262 points,
or 0.55%, and S&P 500 E-minis were down 29.75 points,
or 0.44%. Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 109.75 points,
or 0.44%.
The CBOE volatility index, Wall Street's fear gauge,
was up 1.01 points at 25.24, while futures tied to the
rate-sensitive Russell small-caps index lost over 1%.
Additionally, Washington said it was launching two new trade
investigations into excess industrial capacity in 16 major
trading partners and into forced labor, in a long-telegraphed
move, to rebuild tariff pressure after the U.S. Supreme Court
tore down much of U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff program
last month.
Following a string of credit issues that have surfaced in
recent months, investors are scrutinizing the roughly $2
trillion private credit market, raising concerns over loan
performance and borrowers' ability to manage elevated interest
rates.
Glendon Capital Management said private credit lenders such
as Blue Owl are obscuring weaknesses in their
portfolios, according to a Financial Times report.
Morgan Stanley limited redemptions at one of its private
credit funds on Wednesday, and JPMorgan Chase reduced the value
of some loans to private credit funds.
Shares of Blackstone dropped 0.6%, while Blue Owl
lost 0.8%.
Bumble jumped 24% on Thursday after the dating app
operator reported fourth-quarter revenue above estimates.
Later in the day, investors will gauge jobless claims and
comments from Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman,
ahead of Friday's personal consumption expenditure data - the
central bank's preferred inflation gauge.