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Industrials top-performing S&P 500 sector this year
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Defense stocks boost group; RTX, Lockheed among Q2 reports
in
coming week
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One-fifth of S&P 500 to report, including Alphabet, Tesla
By Lewis Krauskopf
NEW YORK, July 18 (Reuters) - The industrial sector has
led the way for U.S. equities during a topsy-turvy year on Wall
Street, but its strength will be tested as earnings season heats
up.
S&P 500 industrials, which include aerospace
companies, electrical equipment and machinery makers,
transportation firms and building products companies, have
gained 15% so far in 2025. That's the best year-to-date
performance of the S&P 500's 11 sectors and more than double the
gain of the overall index.
Momentum for the industrials sector and the broader market
will be in focus with a heavy upcoming week of second-quarter
earnings, which includes reports from more than one-fifth of the
S&P 500, led by Alphabet and Tesla, the first
of the "Magnificent Seven" megacap tech and growth companies to
report.
The S&P 500 has surged 26% since April, as investors shook
off fears about a recession which had stemmed from President
Donald Trump's "Liberation Day" tariff announcement.
This earnings season "seems to be especially important
because of the rebound that the market has had," said Chuck
Carlson, chief executive officer at Horizon Investment Services.
"I would think that that has built in a fair amount of optimism
in terms of earnings."
A number of industrials will be in the earnings spotlight as
well.
Aerospace and defense stocks have boosted the sector's
performance this year, driven by heightened geopolitical
tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine and fresh spending
commitments by Germany and other nations.
The S&P 500 aerospace and defense industry group
has surged 30% this year. Defense companies to report in the
coming week include RTX, Lockheed Martin ( LMT ) and
General Dynamics ( GD ).
GE Aerospace, whose shares have soared about 55% this
year, raised its 2025 profit forecast on Thursday.
Another industrial company spun off from legacy General
Electric ( GE ) last year, GE Vernova ( GEV ), has seen its shares
skyrocket over 70% this year, making it the best-performing
industrial sector stock. The power equipment maker's results are
due Wednesday.
The push for reshoring infrastructure and expansion of
artificial intelligence, which has lifted demand for cooling
systems and factory automation, are two themes that have
supported a number of stocks in the industry, including Eaton
and Rockwell Automation ( ROK ), said Robert Pavlik,
senior portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth Management.
Another stock that has supported the industrial sector this
year: Ride-hailing giant Uber ( UBER ), whose shares are up
roughly 50%.
"Unlike many non-Tech groups, there are a lot of solid
stories here that don't rely on macro forces to deliver solid
forward returns," Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek
Research, said in a note on Wednesday. Large cap industrials
still look attractive despite the group's recent run, Colas
said.
Indeed, while industrials have been viewed historically as
closely tied to the fortunes of the economy, declines for a
number of growth-cycle-linked stocks have weighed on the
sector's performance.
Shares of package delivery firms UPS and FedEx ( FDX )
have posted sharp declines, while airlines including
United Airlines and trucking companies such as JB Hunt
Transport Services are also negative for the year.
"There are economically sensitive (areas) within industrials
that are not doing well," said Walter Todd, chief investment
officer at Greenwood Capital.
Other industrial companies slated to report in the coming
week are Honeywell ( HON ), Union Pacific ( UNP ) and United
Rentals ( URI ).
Beyond earnings, Wall Street will continue to focus on any
developments on trade ahead of August 1, when higher U.S.
tariffs on numerous trading partners are set to take effect.
Investors will also be sensitive to news on the Federal
Reserve, with Fed Chair Jerome Powell facing fresh pressure from
Trump to resign as the president presses the central bank to
lower interest rates. The Fed's next monetary policy meeting is
July 29-30.
The S&P 500 has climbed about 7% so far this year.
The market has shown resilience despite "an incredible
amount of uncertainty," said Eric Kuby, chief investment officer
at North Star Investment Management Corp.
"We continue to be surprised at how well stocks are trading
given a lot of what would seem to be significant headwinds,"
Kuby said.