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Nvidia ( NVDA ) results due on Wednesday, last of Magnificent 7
earnings
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30-year US Treasury yield tops 5% during week
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After rebound, S&P 500 down over 5% from Feb record high
By Lewis Krauskopf
NEW YORK, May 23 (Reuters) - An earnings report from
semiconductor giant and artificial intelligence bellwether
Nvidia ( NVDA ) takes center stage for Wall Street in the coming
week, as stocks hit a speed bump of worries over federal
deficits driving up Treasury yields.
U.S. equities pulled back this week after a torrid rally, as
investors turned their attention to tax and spending legislation
poised to swell the U.S. government's $36 trillion in debt.
Long-dated U.S. Treasury yields rose amid the fiscal worries,
with the 30-year yield topping 5% and hitting its highest level
since late 2023.
Stocks were dealt another blow on Friday when U.S. President
Donald Trump targeted the European Union and Apple ( AAPL ) in
threats to ratchet up his trade war.
Focus will shift to Wednesday's quarterly results from
Nvidia ( NVDA ), one of the world's largest companies by market value
whose stock is a major influence on benchmark equity indexes.
"All eyes are going to be on Nvidia's ( NVDA ) report," said Chuck
Carlson, CEO of Horizon Investment Services. "The whole AI theme
has been a major driver of the market and Nvidia ( NVDA ) is at the
epicenter of that theme."
Nvidia ( NVDA ) will be the last of the "Magnificent Seven" megacap
tech and growth companies to report results for this period.
Their stocks have been mixed in 2025 after leading the market
higher as a group in the last two years.
Nvidia ( NVDA ) shares are down 2% this year after soaring over
1,000% from late 2022 through the end of 2024 as its AI chip
business spurred massive increases in revenue and profits.
Nvidia's ( NVDA ) first-quarter earnings likely jumped about 45% on
revenue of $43.2 billion, analysts estimated in an LSEG poll.
After big tech companies earlier in the quarter signaled
robust AI-related spending, Nvidia ( NVDA ) can deliver a strong message
about AI and how companies' spending plans are faring, said Art
Hogan, chief market strategist at B Riley Wealth.
"Nvidia ( NVDA ) can reinvigorate the enthusiasm for that theme."
Nvidia ( NVDA ), popular among smaller retail shareholders, is an
investor sentiment indicator, said Wasif Latif, chief investment
officer at Sarmaya Partners.
"Given its sheer size and attention that it is commanding,
there are going to be a lot of people looking for what happens
with the stock," Latif said.
U.S.-China relations could also be in focus with Nvidia's ( NVDA )
report. The company said last month it would take $5.5 billion
in charges after the U.S. government limited exports of its H20
artificial intelligence chip to China.
Trade developments have whipsawed the stock market this
year, especially after Trump's April 2 announcement of sweeping
tariffs on imports globally set off extreme asset price
volatility.
Since then, Trump's easing of tariffs, especially a
U.S.-China truce, has helped equities rebound. The benchmark S&P
500 index ended on Friday down 1.3% for 2025, and down
5.6% from its February record high.
Stocks slipped on Friday after
Trump
pushed for a 50% tariff on European Union goods starting
June 1 and threatened to impose a 25% tariff on Apple ( AAPL ) for any
iPhones sold, but not made, in the United States.
Trump's fiscal plans consumed investor attention for much of
the week, especially after Moody's downgraded the U.S. sovereign
credit rating due to concerns about the nation's growing debt
pile.
The U.S. House of Representatives, controlled by Trump's
Republican party, on Thursday narrowly passed a tax and spending
bill that would enact much of his agenda while adding an
estimated $3.8 trillion to the debt over the next decade. The
bill is heading to the U.S. Senate for its review.
Long-dated government bond yields have been rising globally
amid a selloff, although they pulled back toward the end of the
week. In the U.S., benchmark 10-year Treasury yields this week
hit their highest since February. Bond prices move opposite to
yields.
Higher yields can diminish the appeal of stocks as they
represent higher borrowing costs for companies and consumers,
while making fixed income assets relatively more attractive.
"The biggest concern from an investment standpoint is that
higher rates represent more competition for equities," said
Horizon's Carlson. "If rates continue to move higher, that is
going to put increasing amounts of pressure on where investors
are putting their money."