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Earnings on tap: Target ( TGT ), Lowe's, Home Depot ( HD )
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Walmart ( WMT ) warns of price hikes due to tariffs
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US retail sales growth slowed in April
By Lewis Krauskopf
NEW YORK, May 16 (Reuters) - A batch of U.S. retail
earnings reports in the coming week is set to shed more light on
the economic fallout from the shifting tariff backdrop and test
the stock market's sharp rebound.
Results from retailers including Target ( TGT ), Home Depot ( HD )
and Lowe's arrive as investors have become less
worried that U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs will send the
economy into a recession, particularly following the recent
U.S.-China trade truce between the world's two largest
economies.
But a warning from Walmart ( WMT ) on Thursday that the
world's largest retailer will have to start raising prices due
to the high tariffs is putting other retailers in the spotlight,
as investors watch how they are reacting to a trade backdrop
that remains in flux.
"Retailers are going to be incredibly important, especially
after what happened with Walmart's ( WMT ) announcement," said Matthew
Maley, chief market strategist at Miller Tabak.
Maley said it was notable that Walmart's ( WMT ) warning followed
news of the U.S.-China truce, in which both sides are reducing
their extra tariffs that had exceeded 100% for 90 days.
That Walmart ( WMT ) is "still warning about the tariffs that will
be put in place, even though they won't be some of the most
severe ones that everybody was worried about, obviously that
raises some concerns," Maley said.
The potential for tariffs to raise prices that could slow
consumer spending or drive up inflation has worried investors,
particularly since Trump's April 2 "Liberation Day" announcement
of sweeping levies on imports.
The retailers' quarterly reports also will offer the latest
glimpse into the health of consumer spending, which accounts for
more than two-thirds of U.S. economic activity.
Data on Thursday showed U.S. retail sales growth slowed
sharply in April as the boost from front-loading purchases ahead
of tariffs faded, while consumer sentiment and other surveys
have been weak.
"Sentiment is pretty sour," said Jack Ablin, founding
partner and chief investment officer at Cresset Capital. "But
what we have to do is find out if households are really
following through and pulling back on spending."
Results in the coming week also include apparel maker Ralph
Lauren ( RL ) and off-price retailer TJX Cos ( TJX ), with the
various reports offering insight into a number of consumer
segments, investors said.
One topic of interest is whether shoppers will "trade down"
to less expensive items "because people are nervous about rising
prices," said JJ Kinahan, CEO of IG North America and president
of online broker Tastytrade.
Stocks have staged a massive recovery since Trump's April 2
announcement set off extreme volatility and sent stocks
plunging. The benchmark S&P 500 index is up over 18% from
its April closing low and has erased its losses for the year.
The stock market "just continues to bounce back," Kinahan
said.