* Microsoft ( MSFT ), Alphabet, Amazon ( AMZN ), Apple ( AAPL ), Meta all set to
report
* Over one-third of S&P 500 companies due to post results
* Fed meeting on Wednesday could be Powell's last as
chair
* Q1 GDP, PCE inflation data also due in coming week
By Lewis Krauskopf
NEW YORK, April 24 (Reuters) - A scorching U.S. stock
rally faces a test from a mammoth week of corporate results led
by major technology companies, along with a Federal Reserve
meeting that could mark the end of Jerome Powell's tenure as
head of the U.S. central bank.
Equity indexes have soared this month, rebounding from worries
about economic fallout from the Middle East conflict to mint
record highs. The benchmark S&P 500 as of Friday was up
about 13% since March 30. In that span the tech-heavy Nasdaq
Composite jumped more than 19%.
"We've come a long way in a short amount of time," said
Anthony Saglimbene, chief market strategist at Ameriprise. "Next
week is just going to be a big week for confirmation of the
rally."
Although a Middle East ceasefire alleviated concerns about a
more severe escalation and helped fuel the equities rally,
developments involving the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran remained
likely to jostle asset prices in coming days.
"MAGNIFICENT" EARNINGS MOMENT
Expectations for strong profits this year have boosted
investors' bullish outlook for stocks, and first-quarter
reporting season is off to a solid start. As of Friday, 81.3% of
S&P 500 companies have posted earnings above analysts'
expectations, with overall earnings expected up 16.1% in the
first quarter, according to Tajinder Dhillon, head of earnings
research at LSEG.
More than one-third of the S&P 500 is set to post results
next week alone. They include five of the "Magnificent Seven"
megacap companies, which have been among the signature stocks of
the bull market that began more than three years ago.
Microsoft ( MSFT ), Alphabet, Amazon ( AMZN ) and Meta
Platforms ( META ) report on Wednesday, with investors focusing
on their massive capital spending plans to build out data
centers and other infrastructure to support artificial
intelligence applications. Apple ( AAPL ) reports on Thursday,
on the heels of the iPhone maker announcing a change of CEOs.
"These companies have a lot to prove, and for their stock
prices to move higher, they're really going to have to wow
investors on the earnings front," Saglimbene said.
After mixed starts to the year, the Magnificent Seven and tech
stocks broadly have mostly put up a strong performance this
month. Chipmaker stocks have been standouts, with the
Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index rising for 18
straight sessions as of Friday.
Other companies reporting next week include weight-loss
drugmaker Eli Lilly ( LLY ), oil major Exxon Mobil ( XOM ) and
payments processing company Visa.
FED MEETING TO BE POWELL'S LAST?
The Fed is widely expected to hold interest rates steady in
its policy statement on Wednesday at the end of its two-day
meeting. Investors will seek updated views from policymakers
about the war's impact on the economy and the path for interest
rates.
Concerns about a war-driven surge in energy prices have led
investors to temper expectations for equity-friendly rate cuts
this year. Markets are pricing in less than one standard
25-basis-point cut by December, according to LSEG data, after
expecting at least two before the war began in late February.
Still, "the Fed being on hold...is somewhat supportive,
versus other central banks that are expected to hike in the next
couple of meetings," said Marvin Loh, senior global macro
strategist at State Street. "So it ... provides a little bit of
a tailwind for U.S. assets."
The meeting also is poised to be the last with Powell at the
helm, with his term as chair set to end on May 15. Former Fed
Governor Kevin Warsh, President Donald Trump's pick as the next
Fed chair, appeared before a U.S. Senate panel this week for his
confirmation hearing.
News emerged on Friday that the U.S. Justice Department was
closing its investigation into Powell over renovation costs of
the Fed's headquarters, clearing a key obstacle for Warsh to
take over.
Next week also features data on first-quarter U.S. economic
growth, as well as the March Personal Consumption Expenditures
Price Index, the Fed's preferred gauge for inflation. Both
reports could offer insight into the Middle East conflict's
economic fallout so far.
The war remains a key issue for markets, said Sid Vaidya,
chief investment strategist at TD Wealth.
"The concern for us would be that we've seen the market
rebound, but we don't have a permanent resolution in place,"
Vaidya said. "The longer the conflict goes, the greater the risk
to the real economy, which will then translate into some
potential pain and volatility for markets."