* S&P 500, Nasdaq notch all-time highs after sharp
rebound
* Heavy earnings week includes Tesla, Boeing ( BA ), P&G
* Hearing for Trump Fed pick could draw market's
attention
By Lewis Krauskopf
NEW YORK, April 17 (Reuters) - Investors will look to a
heavy week of U.S. corporate results to further fuel a stunning
rebound in the U.S. stock market, which has shaken off
war-related concerns to reach record peaks.
Hopes for a cooling of U.S.-Iran tensions have led to a sharp
rally this month, culminating with major U.S. stock indexes
minting fresh records in recent days. The benchmark S&P 500
on Wednesday posted its first record-high close since Jan
27, while the Nasdaq Composite on the same day notched
its first all-time-high close since Oct 29.
Investors are turning to a first-quarter earnings season
that is expected to be robust, providing a key pillar
buttressing bullish sentiment for stocks. Nearly one-fifth of
S&P 500 companies are slated to report results in the coming
week.
"We're certainly not out of the woods" from war-related
developments that could cause daily market swings, said Chuck
Carlson, chief executive officer at Horizon Investment Services.
"But I think the market has shifted its attention now ...toward
corporate profits and how stocks respond to those profits."
Oil prices remained at loftier levels. U.S. crude was
around $94 a barrel on Thursday compared to $67 in late
February, just before the U.S.-Israeli military strikes on Iran.
Knock-on effects of sustainably elevated oil prices including
higher inflation and higher Treasury yields could pose problems
for stocks, said Michael Mullaney, director of global markets
research at Boston Partners.
"The stock market is treating what has happened over the
last six weeks as if it has just woken up from a bad dream,"
Mullaney said. "Like ... there are no further ramifications or
repercussions from this. Which I don't agree with."
HISTORIC STOCK RALLY BACK TO HIGHS
Following the start of the war, the S&P 500's slide took the
benchmark index down 9% from its January peak. Since its recent
low on March 30, the index has stormed back 11%, closing this
week above the 7,000 level for the first time.
In looking at S&P 500 pullbacks between 5% to 10% since
1928, Bespoke Investment Group noted that the index had never
before rallied back to all-time highs in just 11 trading
sessions, as it achieved on Wednesday.
"The velocity of this ascent has been nothing short of
astonishing," Jim Reid, head of macro and thematic research at
Deutsche Bank, said in a note.
A number of megacap technology and tech-related stocks, which
have led for much of the three-year-old bull market, were hit
hard in the initial downturn. Some of those shined in the recent
rebound, such as Alphabet and Meta Platforms ( META ),
while the massive tech sector also outperformed. The
Nasdaq ended Thursday up for a 12th straight session, the first
time that has happened since the 2009 bounce that followed a
steep decline.
"If you are looking for broad participation in the market
and you are making new highs and your generals are now coming
back to life a little bit, I say that is probably something that
is pretty healthy," said Jeff Weniger, head of equity strategy
at WisdomTree.
Investors are eyeing signs of frothiness, including the surge in
shares of Allbirds ( BIRD ) after the footwear maker said it was
pivoting to AI computing infrastructure.
TESLA HEADLINES US EARNINGS AHEAD
Tesla reports on Wednesday, the first of the
"Magnificent Seven" megacaps to post results for the
just-completed quarter. Other companies to report include
planemaker Boeing ( BA ), semiconductor company Intel ( INTC )
and consumer products maker Procter & Gamble ( PG ).
Heavyweights such as Microsoft ( MSFT ), Alphabet and Meta
report the following week.
S&P 500 earnings are expected to jump about 14% in the first
quarter from a year earlier, according to LSEG IBES. Major banks
kicked off the reporting period this week, posting soaring
trading revenues after a volatile first quarter. They noted
caution about economic risks even as they said consumers and
households were resilient.
"The American consumer, while facing real pressure, has not
broken based on early Q1 bank earnings," Anthony Saglimbene,
chief market strategist at Ameriprise, said in a written
commentary.
The path of interest rates will be in focus on Tuesday, when
Kevin Warsh, President Donald Trump's pick to lead the Federal
Reserve, appears before Congress for a hearing. Trump has
seethed at current Fed Chair Jerome Powell for not lowering
rates more, but the war's potential inflationary effects have
led markets virtually to rule out rate cuts this year.
More insight into the war's economic fallout could come with
retail sales data for March, out Tuesday. With gas prices
hitting $4 a gallon in the wake of the war, investors will be
eager to see the impact on consumer spending.
"I suspect these prices aren't dropping down anytime soon
and that is going to have an effect on discretionary spending
going forward," said Robert Pavlik, senior portfolio manager at
Dakota Wealth Management. "So the claim that the U.S. economy is
in good shape is in my opinion near sighted."