NEW YORK, Aug 30 (Reuters) -
A broadening rally in U.S. stocks is offering an encouraging
signal to investors worried about concentration in technology
shares, as markets await key jobs data and the Federal Reserve's
expected rate cuts in September.
As the market's fortunes keep rising and falling with big
tech stocks such as Nvidia ( NVDA ) and Apple ( AAPL ),
investors are also putting money in less-loved value stocks and
small caps, which are expected to benefit from lower interest
rates. The Fed is expected to kick off a rate-cutting cycle at
its monetary policy meeting on Sept. 17-18.
Many investors view the broadening trend, which picked up steam
last month before faltering during an early August sell-off, as
a healthy development in a market rally led by a cluster of
giant tech names. Chipmaker Nvidia, which has benefited from
bets on artificial intelligence, alone has accounted for roughly
a quarter of the S&P 500's year-to-date gain of 18.4%.
"No matter how you slice and dice it you have seen a pretty
meaningful broadening out and I think that has legs," said Liz
Ann Sonders, chief investment officer at Charles Schwab.
Value stocks are those of companies trading at a discount on
metrics like book value or price-to-earnings and include sectors
such as financials and industrials. Some investors believe
rallies in these sectors and small caps could go further if the
Fed cuts borrowing costs while the economy stays healthy.
The market's rotation has recently accelerated, with 61% of
stocks in the S&P 500 outperforming the index in the past
month, compared to 14% outperforming over the past year, Charles
Schwab data showed.
Meanwhile, the so-called Magnificent Seven group of tech giants
- which includes Nvidia ( NVDA ), Tesla and Microsoft ( MSFT ) -
have underperformed the other 493 stocks in the S&P 500 by 14
percentage points since the release of a weaker-than-expected
U.S. inflation report on July 11, according to an analysis by
BofA Global Research.
Stocks have also held up after an Nvidia ( NVDA ) forecast failed to meet
lofty investor expectations earlier this week, another sign that
investors may be looking beyond tech. The equal weight S&P 500
index, a proxy for the average stock, hit a fresh record this
week and is up around 10.5% year-to-date, narrowing its
performance gap with the S&P 500.
"When market breadth is improving, the message is that an
increasing number of stocks are rallying on expectations that
economic conditions will support earnings growth and
profitability," analysts at Ned David Research wrote.
Value stocks that have performed well this year include General
Electric ( GE ) and midstream energy company Targa Resources ( TRGP )
, which are up 70% and 68%, respectively. The small-cap
focused Russell 2000 index, meanwhile, is up 8.5% from its lows
of the month, though it has not breached its July peak.
The jobs report "tends to be one of the more market moving
releases in general, and right now it's going to get even more
attention than normal."
Investors are unlikely to turn their back on tech stocks,
particularly if volatility gives them a chance to buy on the
cheap, said Jason Alonzo, a portfolio manager with Harbor
Capital.
Technology stocks are expected to post above-market earnings
growth over every quarter through 2025, with third-quarter
earnings coming in at 15.3% compared with a 7.5% gain for the
S&P 500 as a whole, according to LSEG data.
"People will sometimes take a deep breath after a nice run
and look at other opportunities, but technology is still the
clearest driver of growth, particularly the AI theme which is
innocent until proven guilty," Alonzo said.
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