(Repeating SCHEDULED COLUMN originally published on July 24, no
changes)
* Fed seen holding rates on Wednesday, some investors
uncertain
* Microsoft ( MSFT ), Meta, Amazon ( AMZN ) to report after Alphabet
disappoints
* Apple ( AAPL ), Visa, Chevron ( CVX ) also set to report in busiest Q2 week
By Lewis Krauskopf
NEW YORK, July 24 (Reuters) - A wobbly U.S. stock market
will take its cues in the coming week from a Federal Reserve
meeting set to shed light on the path for interest rates, and
from a packed slate of corporate earnings led by technology
companies and heavyweights in artificial intelligence.
Major equity indexes posted weekly declines, dragged down on
the week by steep slides in Alphabet and Tesla
following their quarterly reports.
The fallout for Google parent Alphabet, sparked in part by an
increase in its already massive AI spending plans, set a
negative tone ahead of results next week from other AI
"hyperscalers": Microsoft ( MSFT ), Amazon ( AMZN ) and Meta
Platforms ( META ).
AI-related stocks have been at the heart of equity market gains
this year, helping drive the bull market near to its fourth
year. Despite this week's stumble, the benchmark S&P 500
is still up over 8% in 2026, while the market "feels very
frothy," said Kristina Hooper, chief market strategist at Man
Group.
"Investors are, to a certain extent, walking on eggshells,"
Hooper said. "And they're more likely to react negatively to any
signs of imperfection."
WILL FED HOLD RATES STEADY?
Meanwhile, the Fed meeting comes as oil prices have shot up due
to escalating tensions in the Middle East. Brent crude hit $100
a barrel on Thursday.
That has fanned fears that policymakers will need to be more
aggressive in raising rates to control inflation, which
consistently has run well above the Fed's 2% annual target.
The central bank was expected to hold rates steady when it gives
its monetary policy statement on Wednesday, with Fed funds
futures late on Friday pricing in a 38% chance of a
quarter-percentage-point rate increase, according to LSEG data.
But there was still some uncertainty on Wall Street over whether
the Fed, whose new chair, Kevin Warsh, is overhauling monetary
policy communication, might surprise markets.
"The possibility of a shock rate hike cannot be ruled out
entirely," BNP Paribas economists said in a note this week.
The meeting will be the second under Warsh, who has shunned
forward guidance while vowing to bring inflation down to target.
"He's really not showing the Fed's cards," said Paul Nolte,
senior wealth advisor and market strategist at Murphy & Sylvest
Wealth Management.
INVESTORS SEEK SIGNS ABOUT FED RATE HIKES
Even if the central bank holds rates steady on Wednesday,
investors will look for hints about the future path of rates in
the policy statement and Warsh's ensuing press conference. Fed
funds futures are factoring in two quarter-point rate hikes by
the January 2027 meeting.
"If you get the feeling that there are more committee
members that are moving towards these multi-hike scenarios over
the balance of the year, then I think that's going to be a
problem for the market," said Scott Wren, senior global market
strategist at the Wells Fargo Investment Institute.
Higher interest rates raise borrowing costs for consumers
and companies, slowing the economy and often weighing on stocks.
They can also translate into higher Treasury yields, which
already have been rising in recent weeks, creating competition
for equities. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield
topped 4.7% on Thursday, reaching its highest level since early
2025. Yields move opposite to the price of bonds.
Investors also get a series of updates on the U.S. economy
next week, with reports due on second-quarter gross domestic
product, monthly inflation and consumer sentiment.
BIG EARNINGS WEEK, INCLUDING BIG AI SPENDERS
About one-third of S&P 500 companies are expected to post
results, making it the busiest week of the second-quarter
reporting season, including Apple ( AAPL ), Visa, Chevron ( CVX )
and Coca-Cola.
With more than 80 companies already having reported, S&P 500
second-quarter earnings were on track to post a 26.5% increase
on last year, according to LSEG IBES data as of Wednesday -- a
huge profit boost that Wall Street had been anticipating and
incorporating into stock prices ahead of earnings.
AI spending has been a central driver of stock prices in 2026,
boosting semiconductor firms and companies involved in building
data centers and other infrastructure.
But there have also been increasing investor concerns about
whether the big spenders will recoup their massive investments.
That issue arose with Alphabet's report and could play into how
investors react next week to quarterly reports from Microsoft ( MSFT ),
Amazon ( AMZN ) and Meta.
The companies could easily meet earnings expectations and
give strong guidance for the next quarter, but still be punished
by the market as investors' perspective on the AI spending
shifts, Man Group's Hooper said.
"Where they saw opportunities, now they're more likely to
see risks," she added.