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World stocks near record highs as China, US data back global recovery hopes
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World stocks near record highs as China, US data back global recovery hopes
Apr 16, 2021 12:19 AM

A batch of Chinese and US economic data helped underpin global stocks near record highs on Friday, as investors priced in a solid global recovery from the coronavirus-induced slump. In Asia, markets were largely steady after China reported a sharp acceleration in first-quarter growth, though the reading slightly undershot expectations while retail sales bounced strongly last month.

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Shanghai shares dipped 0.2 percent while the Chinese yuan eased. Analysts said the China data did little to change expectations of a strong recovery and further policy tightening to curb any excesses in property investments.

”Property investments were weaker but that’s no surprise given policymakers have been tightening loans to the sector while consumption is continuing a normalisation,” said Ei Kaku, senior strategist at Nomura.”On the whole the data is unlikely to have a big impact.”

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was off 0.2 percent while Japan’s Nikkei was almost flat. MSCI’s broadest gauge of world stocks ticked down 0.05 percent by mid-Asian trade following 0.89 percent gains the previous day to a record high.

”US economic data released yesterday was all strong, confirming the US economy is firmly on a recovery track,” said Norihiro Fujito, chief investment strategist at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities.

US retail sales rebounded 9.8 percent in March, the largest increase since May 2020, in again that pushed the level of sales 17.1 percent above its pre-pandemic level to a record high.

The brightening economic prospects were underscored by other data, including first-time claims for unemployment benefits tumbling last week to the lowest level since March 2020.

Despite strong data, US bond yields dropped, in part driven by Japanese buying, as they have began a new financial year this month. The 10-year US Treasuries yield dropped to 1.529 percent, a five-week low, on Thursday and last stood at 1.578 percent, off its 14-month high of 1.776 percent set at the end of March.

”The market has already fully priced in a US economic recovery in the near term. And if the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates on hold for the next two to three years, no doubt the carry of US bonds would be very attractive compared with Japanese or eurozone bonds,” said Chotaro Morita, chief fixed-income strategist at SMBC Nikko Securities.

The fall in long-term bond yields benefited stocks, and particularly tech shares, given the idea that their historically expensive valuations can be justified because investors would have no choice but to buy shares to make up for low returns from bonds.

On Wall Street, the S&P 500 advanced 1.11 percent while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite added 1.31 percent, nearing its record peak set in February.

In the currency market, lower US yields were a drag on the US dollar. The euro stood at USD 1.1951, having hit a six-week high of USD 1.19935 overnight while the US currency slipped to a three-week low of 108.61 yen and last traded at 108.89.

Oil prices held firm after hitting a four-week high on Thursday following positive US economic data and higher demand forecasts from the International Energy Agency (IEA) and OPEC.

rent futures stood flat at USD 66.89 per barrel, while US crude was also little changed at USD 63.36 per barrel, both on course for their first substantial weekly gains in six.

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