The United States Department of the Interior has conducted an auction for over 2,600 square miles (6,700 square kilometers) of federal oil and gas leases in the Gulf of Mexico, a sale that was mandated by last year’s climate bill compromise. This is the first such auction in over a year and is anticipated to attract major oil companies like ExxonMobil and Chevron. The development of these Gulf leases could potentially yield more than 1 billion barrels of oil and 4 trillion cubic feet (113 billion cubic meters) of natural gas over a period of 50 years, although this would significantly contribute to increased carbon dioxide emissions, as per a government analysis.
Uncertainty looms regarding how much investment companies will commit due to the recent drop in oil prices and ambiguity around future lease sales under the current administration. However, the approval of ConocoPhillips' Willow drilling project in Alaska has been seen as a positive sign for the industry, indicating that the Biden administration may be seeking a balance between energy transition and energy security, according to SP Global analyst Sami Yahya.
The auction was held just before the deadline set by the climate bill signed into law by President Joe Biden, which requires tens of millions of acres to be offered for fossil fuel leasing before public lands can be leased for renewable power—a concession made to gain support from West Virginia Senator Joe Manchin, a proponent of the fossil fuels industry.
While the auction covered an extensive area larger than Arizona, historically only a small portion of available acreage typically sells at such auctions. Bids were submitted on Tuesday and opened in New Orleans on Wednesday.
The sale's implications are particularly complex for Louisiana, a state heavily dependent on oil and gas but also facing severe climate change impacts, including sea level rise leading to coastal wetlands erosion. The long-term nature of offshore developments means production from these leases could extend beyond 2030, a critical deadline for drastically reducing greenhouse gas emissions to mitigate catastrophic climate change.
Environmental groups have filed a lawsuit against the sale, arguing that it contradicts the administration's commitment to tackling climate change and transitioning away from fossil fuels. Chevron, among others, has expressed concerns about potential financial losses should the leases be blocked, with plans to continue Gulf of Mexico operations for decades.
In addition to the Gulf leases, the administration is planning to auction over 500 square miles (1,400 square kilometers) of onshore oil and gas leases across several states starting from May. Despite ongoing legal challenges and environmental concerns, the interplay between economic interests, energy security, and climate action remains a central issue in the management of U.S. federal lands and waters.