financetom
News
financetom
/
News
/
Dollar declines despite renewed US-Iran tensions
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Dollar declines despite renewed US-Iran tensions
May 8, 2026 5:20 AM

The US dollar edged lower on Friday after renewed clashes between the United States and Iran, despite US President Donald Trump confirming that the ceasefire remains in place.

The two sides have exchanged intermittent fire since the ceasefire took effect on April 7, with Iran targeting locations in Gulf countries, including the United Arab Emirates.

With oil prices rising only modestly, investors remained cautiously optimistic about the possibility of a quick resolution to the conflict, amid the largely fragile truce and reports indicating that talks between Washington and Tehran are continuing.

Analysts noted that investor positioning in currency markets has returned to historical averages and is no longer supporting the dollar as strongly as it did a few weeks ago.

Francesco Pesole, FX strategist at ING, said: The hope for traders betting on high-risk assets remains that China will pressure the United States into reaching some form of agreement in the Gulf before the expected Trump-Xi summit on May 14 and 15.

He added that the outlook for the dollar now appears clearly two-sided, with stock market reactions potentially having a greater impact on the US currency than fluctuations in oil prices.

European stocks declined, while US stock futures rose by 0.30% after the SP 500 index fell 0.38% on Thursday.

The dollar index, which measures the US currency against a basket of major currencies, declined by 0.14% to 98.195 points after earlier this week recording 97.623 points, its lowest level since February 27, one day before the outbreak of the war.

Investors had rushed toward the dollar as a safe haven while selling currencies of oil-dependent economies such as Japan and eurozone countries following the rise in oil prices after Irans effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

Markets are also awaiting the release of the US nonfarm payrolls report later on Friday. Pesole said it may require an exceptional number, particularly one weak enough, to generate a real move in dollar volatility.

The euro rose by 0.16% to $1.1743, heading toward ending the week with slight gains.

The yen supported by intervention risks

Traders remained focused on the Japanese yen following recent interventions and verbal warnings from Tokyo, which have limited sharp selloffs in the Japanese currency. The yen remained almost stable at 156.85 against the dollar, heading toward ending the week relatively unchanged.

Japans top currency diplomat said on Thursday that Tokyo faces no restrictions regarding the number of times it can intervene in currency markets and that it remains in daily contact with US authorities, signaling the Japanese governments determination to defend the yen.

Tony Sycamore, market analyst at IG, said: Japanese intervention, in the current environment of rising energy prices and yields, can only act as a seatbelt slowing the yens decline, but it cannot fully save it.

He added that unless economic and technical conditions change, the yen is likely to continue testing the Bank of Japans willingness to intervene.

In Britain, the pound rose against both the euro and the dollar on Friday after local election results so far confirmed expectations that the Labour Party would suffer significant losses, prompting investors to focus on the future of British Prime Minister Keir Starmer.

The British pound climbed by 0.26% to $1.3584.

The Australian dollar also rose to $0.7221, while the New Zealand dollar traded at $0.5943, with both currencies heading toward weekly gains supported by improving risk appetite over recent days.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Euro moves higher before US inflation data
Euro moves higher before US inflation data
Mar 11, 2026
The euro rose in European trading on Wednesday against a basket of global currencies, resuming gains that had briefly paused yesterday against the US dollar, and moving higher toward a one-week high as the US currency weakened ahead of key US inflation data. The single European currency was also supported by falling global oil prices after a Wall Street Journal...
Euro moves in negative zone under ECB scrutiny
Euro moves in negative zone under ECB scrutiny
Mar 11, 2026
The euro fell in European trading on Monday against a basket of global currencies, continuing to trade in negative territory for a second straight session versus the US dollar, under the watch of European monetary authorities, who warned that excessive strength in the euro exchange rate could renew inflation pressures in Europe. The US dollar continues to advance in the...
Yen deepens losses to two-week low after Takaichi's remarks
Yen deepens losses to two-week low after Takaichi's remarks
Mar 11, 2026
The Japanese yen fell in Asian trading on Monday against a basket of major and minor currencies, extending its losses for a second straight session versus the US dollar and recording a two-week low, after remarks by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi highlighting the benefits of a weaker domestic currency. The US dollar continues to advance in the foreign exchange market,...
Warsh’s challenge: Balancing Fed independence and Trump’s demands
Warsh’s challenge: Balancing Fed independence and Trump’s demands
Mar 11, 2026
Kevin Warsh has intermittently pursued the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve ever since US President Donald Trump first considered nominating him nearly a decade ago. Now, as he moves closer to taking the role, the scale of the challenge ahead is coming into sharper focus. To be effective, Warsh must earn the confidence of at least three key...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved