financetom
News
financetom
/
News
/
US dollar steadies before Powell's Jackson Hole speech
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
US dollar steadies before Powell's Jackson Hole speech
Aug 20, 2025 6:10 AM

The US dollar held steady on Wednesday as traders awaited Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powells speech at the annual Jackson Hole symposium later this week, seeking clues about the path of monetary policy.

In contrast, the New Zealand dollar fell after the central bank cut its cash rate by a quarter percentage point to 3.0%, and revealed that its board had even discussed a larger half-point reduction.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against six major peers, remained stable at 98.319 after touching its highest level in more than a week at 98.441 earlier in the day. Market focus is firmly on Powells remarks on Friday, as traders look for signals on whether he might push back against market pricing for a rate cut at the Feds September 16-17 meeting.

Current expectations show traders assigning about an 85% probability to a quarter-point cut next month, with a total of roughly 54 basis points in easing anticipated by year-end.

Kirstine Kundby-Nielsen, FX analyst at Danske Bank, said: Powell will likely try to strike a balanced tone, but there is a risk he comes across as hawkish on Friday. Some of the inflation dynamics we have seen will make the Fed more cautious.

Traders had raised bets on rate cuts after weaker-than-expected US jobs data earlier this month, alongside consumer price data showing only limited tariff-driven pressures. However, stronger-than-forecast producer prices last week complicated the outlook.

Powell himself has been hesitant to cut rates, citing expectations of higher prices due to tariffs this summer.

Later on Wednesday, the Fed is set to release minutes from its July 29-30 meeting, when it held rates steady. But these may offer little guidance, given they preceded the weak jobs report.

The New Zealand dollar slid 1.3% to $0.5815, its lowest since April 11, after policymakers also lowered their forecast for the terminal cash rate to 2.55% from 2.85% in May.

Prashant Newnaha, rates strategist at TD Securities, wrote in a client note: The market was not expecting the bank to send such a strong dovish signal of further cuts ahead. He now expects the cash rate to fall to 2.5% by November.

In Europe, the Swedish krona was steady after the central bank left its policy rate unchanged at 2%, in line with expectations.

The euro dipped 0.1% to $1.1636, while the dollar rose 0.1% against the Swiss franc to 0.8078 but eased 0.1% versus the yen to 147.61.

Sterling edged higher against both the euro and the dollar after UK inflation data beat expectations, leaving Britain with the highest inflation challenge among major advanced economies. Most of the rise in services inflation was driven by higher airfares, which some economists attributed to the timing of school holidays.

Chris Turner, head of research at ING, said: The Bank of England is more concerned about food inflation, which hasnt changed much in todays report. We doubt the CPI print will significantly alter the Banks policy stance.

In cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin stabilized around $113,897 after earlier dropping to $112,578.38, its lowest since August 3, pressured by the stronger dollar.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
US dollar heads for fresh weekly profit
US dollar heads for fresh weekly profit
Oct 26, 2024
The US dollar rose in European trade on Friday against a basket of major rivals, resuming gains after a short hiatus, and approaching three-month highs once more. The gains come amid a surge in US 10-year treasury yields after bullish remarks from some Fed officials, and strong US data, which hurt the odds of an aggressive pace for US interest...
Yen skids to three-month trough as Japanese governing coalition loses majority
Yen skids to three-month trough as Japanese governing coalition loses majority
Oct 28, 2024
The Japanese yen skidded in Asian trade on Monday to three-month lows against the US dollar, after the election loss by the current Japanese parliamentary governing coalition, which could impede future interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan. The yen is also pressured by a surge in US 10-year treasury yields, amid speculation about a cautious stance by the...
Yen skids to three-month low as the gap in treasury yields widens
Yen skids to three-month low as the gap in treasury yields widens
Oct 26, 2024
The yen fell in European trade on Wednesday against a basket of major rivals, sharpening the losses for the third straight session against the US dollar and hitting three-month lows amid concerns about a wider US-Japan gap in government treasury yields. Recent bearish remarks from Japanese officials hurt the odds of a third BOJ interest rate hike this year, while...
Euro rebounds ahead of major eurozone data
Euro rebounds ahead of major eurozone data
Oct 27, 2024
The euro rose in European trade on Thursday against a basket of major rivals after a wave of losses across three sessions, with the euro eventually settling above 3-⅕ month lows against the US dollar. It comes ahead of major data on the eurozone sectors later today, which would shed important light on the health of the European economy in...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved