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Yen declines after grim Japanese data
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Yen declines after grim Japanese data
Aug 7, 2025 11:00 PM

The Japanese yen declined in Asian markets on Friday against a basket of major and minor currencies, moving away once again from the highest levels in two weeks against the US dollar, and heading toward incurring its first loss in the last three days, due to the release of bleak data on Japanese household spending during June.

This data, along with less aggressive remarks from political leaders in Japan, led to a decline in expectations of a Japanese interest rate hike in September, pending further comments and key statements from the worlds fourth-largest economy.

Price Overview

Japanese yen exchange rate today: the dollar rose against the yen by 0.2% to 147.38, from todays opening price at 147.11, and recorded the lowest level at 146.72.

The yen had posted a gain of about 0.2% against the dollar at Thursdays settlement, marking a second consecutive daily gain, approaching the highest level in two weeks at 146.62.

Bleak Data

Data released Friday in Tokyo showed that household spending in Japan rose by 1.3% year-on-year in June, below market expectations of a 2.8% increase, after recording a 4.7% rise in May.

The decline in consumer spending in Japan may pave the way for lower prices and a slowdown in the pace of inflation in the coming period. Undoubtedly, easing inflationary pressures on policymakers at the Bank of Japan reduces the chances of further Japanese interest rate hikes before the end of this year.

Japanese Comments

Ken Saito, a senior official in the ruling party, told Reuters that the Bank of Japan should be cautious about raising interest rates due to the expected impact of US tariffs on the fragile economy.

Japanese Interest Rates

Following the above comments and data, the pricing of expectations for the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates by a quarter percentage point at the September meeting fell from 55% to 45%.

Minutes from the June monetary policy meeting showed that some members of the Bank of Japans board said the central bank would consider resuming interest rate hikes if trade tensions eased.

To reprice those expectations, investors are awaiting the release of more data on inflation, unemployment, and wage levels in Japan.

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