The Japanese yen fell in Asian markets on Friday against a basket of major and minor currencies, deepening losses for the third consecutive day against the US dollar and hitting its lowest level in eight weeks. It is heading toward its biggest weekly loss in nearly two and a half months, as selling pressure on the currency continues in the foreign exchange market.
Data showed that core inflation in Tokyo held steady below economists expectations in September, underscoring continued easing of inflationary pressures on Bank of Japan policymakers. As a result, the likelihood of a rate hike in October has declined.
Price Overview
USD/JPY rose by more than 0.1% to 149.96, the highest since August 1, from todays opening level of 149.79, after touching a low of 149.33.
The yen ended Thursday down 0.6% against the dollar, its second straight daily decline, as strong US economic data reduced expectations of a Fed rate cut in October.
Weekly Trading
Over the course of this week, which officially concludes at todays settlement, the yen is down about 1.35% against the US dollar, on track for a fifth consecutive weekly loss and its biggest weekly drop since early July.
This worst weekly performance in two and a half months is attributed to political uncertainty in Japan as well as the US dollars strength and rising US yields, supported by strong economic data and Federal Reserve commentary.
Tokyo Core Inflation
Data released today in Japan showed Tokyos core consumer price index rising 2.5% in September, below market expectations of 2.8%. The index also rose 2.5% in August, the slowest pace since March.
Undoubtedly, stable prices reduce inflationary pressures on Bank of Japan policymakers, lowering the chances of rate hikes in Japan this year.
Japanese Interest Rates
Following the above data, market pricing for a 25-basis-point rate hike by the Bank of Japan in October fell from 50% to 35%.
To reprice those expectations, investors are awaiting further data on inflation, unemployment, and wages in Japan.