The Japanese yen declined in Asian trading on Thursday against a basket of major and minor currencies, moving into negative territory versus the US dollar after two days of gains. This comes ahead of the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, where most central bank governors are expected to speak.
Amid rising doubts about the likelihood of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates by 25 basis points in September, investors are awaiting further evidence on the path of monetary policy normalization for the remainder of the year.
Price Overview
USD/JPY rose 0.15% to 147.51, from an opening price of 147.31, with a low at 147.25.
The yen ended Wednesday up 0.25% against the dollar, marking a second consecutive daily gain, supported by concerns over Federal Reserve stability due to Trumps continued pressure on US policymakers.
US Dollar
The US Dollar Index rose 0.1% on Thursday, resuming gains after pausing yesterday, nearing a two-week high at 98.44 points, reflecting broad strength against major and minor currencies.
Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook reaffirmed her commitment to remain in office despite President Trumps calls for her resignation over alleged mortgage fraud.
Minutes from the Feds latest policy meeting showed divisions over tariffs, inflation, and the labor market outlook.
Traders currently see around an 80% chance of a 25-basis point Fed rate cut in September, with expectations of a total 52 basis points of easing for the rest of the year.
Jackson Hole
Central bankers from around the world will attend the symposium, beginning later today, though the main focus will be on Fed Chair Jerome Powells speech on Friday. Markets are looking for signals on the likelihood of a September rate cut.
Japanese Interest Rates
Market pricing for a 25-basis point Bank of Japan rate hike in September remains steady near 40%.
Investors await further data on inflation, unemployment, and wages to reassess these expectations.
BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda is scheduled to speak at the Jackson Hole symposium, and his remarks are expected to provide more clarity on the monetary policy outlook.
A survey shows 63% of economists expect the BoJ to raise the benchmark rate to at least 0.75% by year-end, up from 54% in July.
Another survey shows 92% of economists expect the BoJ to keep rates at 0.50% through the end of September.