AMSTERDAM, Jan 30 (Reuters) - Top computer chip
equipment maker ASML has decided to stop publishing
the most closely-watched figure in its quarterly financial
results, new order bookings, saying it is too "lumpy" and leads
to excessive volatility in its share price.
The Dutch company says its own forecasts are a better guide,
as they are based on discussions with chipmakers about their
capacity plans, in which ASML's circuit-printing machinery plays
a major role.
New orders can take between around six and 18 months to
fill, making it hard to interpret how each quarter's figures
will play out - sometimes causing big stock price moves.
"The swing factor is significant," Chief Financial Officer
Roger Dassen said.
Analysts said the company's decision - announced on
Wednesday as its stock spiked 7% due to better than expected
fourth-quarter bookings - was partly regrettable, but mostly
understandable.
"There is downside for investors, as ... (at present) we can
monitor how average bookings are moving and whether we are
getting confidence in the backlog for the next 12+ months," said
Sara Russo of Bernstein.
"I do agree with ASML that in the context of a single
quarter of bookings, it's not a very useful measure of the
longer-term health and stability of the business."
Fourth-quarter bookings of 7.1 billion euros ($7.4 billion)
compared to the third quarter's 2.6 billion euros. The big
difference was likely timing of orders from top chipmaker TSMC
of Taiwan, which this month announced plans for $38 billion in
capital spending in 2025.
"Capex for large spenders TSMC, Intel ( INTC ), and Samsung already
tells you enough," said Degroof Petercam analyst Michael Roeg,
who said he was okay with ASML's decision despite initially
viewing it as a step backward in transparency.
In 2024, ASML shares surged more than 30% and then handed
back all of those gains, but Dassen noted the company's
full-year sales and margins wound up in line with forecasts the
company had issued last January.
"If you put all those quarters together, you see it wasn't
too shabby, was it?" he told reporters.
($1 = 0.9608 euros)