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ASML to stop publishing most-closely watched metric - bookings
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ASML to stop publishing most-closely watched metric - bookings
Jan 30, 2025 6:41 AM

AMSTERDAM, Jan 30 (Reuters) - Top computer chip

equipment maker ASML has decided to stop publishing

the most closely-watched figure in its quarterly financial

results, new order bookings, saying it is too "lumpy" and leads

to excessive volatility in its share price.

The Dutch company says its own forecasts are a better guide,

as they are based on discussions with chipmakers about their

capacity plans, in which ASML's circuit-printing machinery plays

a major role.

New orders can take between around six and 18 months to

fill, making it hard to interpret how each quarter's figures

will play out - sometimes causing big stock price moves.

"The swing factor is significant," Chief Financial Officer

Roger Dassen said.

Analysts said the company's decision - announced on

Wednesday as its stock spiked 7% due to better than expected

fourth-quarter bookings - was partly regrettable, but mostly

understandable.

"There is downside for investors, as ... (at present) we can

monitor how average bookings are moving and whether we are

getting confidence in the backlog for the next 12+ months," said

Sara Russo of Bernstein.

"I do agree with ASML that in the context of a single

quarter of bookings, it's not a very useful measure of the

longer-term health and stability of the business."

Fourth-quarter bookings of 7.1 billion euros ($7.4 billion)

compared to the third quarter's 2.6 billion euros. The big

difference was likely timing of orders from top chipmaker TSMC

of Taiwan, which this month announced plans for $38 billion in

capital spending in 2025.

"Capex for large spenders TSMC, Intel ( INTC ), and Samsung already

tells you enough," said Degroof Petercam analyst Michael Roeg,

who said he was okay with ASML's decision despite initially

viewing it as a step backward in transparency.

In 2024, ASML shares surged more than 30% and then handed

back all of those gains, but Dassen noted the company's

full-year sales and margins wound up in line with forecasts the

company had issued last January.

"If you put all those quarters together, you see it wasn't

too shabby, was it?" he told reporters.

($1 = 0.9608 euros)

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