BEIJING, March 17 (Reuters) - China's industrial output
slowed in January-February, while retail sales growth
accelerated slightly in a mixed start for the economy this year
as policymakers navigate mounting pressure from U.S. trade
tariffs.
The data followed weaker-than-expected exports and inflation
indicators earlier this month, as a burst of U.S. trade tariffs
against key trading partners including China threatens to upend
the global trade order and highlights the need for more policy
support to foster a sustainable economic recovery.
China's top leaders have maintained an economic growth
target of "around 5%" for 2025, but analysts say that may be a
tall order given pressure on exports, tepid household demand and
a protracted property crisis.
"The data release suggests a decent momentum in the opening
months, even if the economy remains in deflation," said Tianchen
Xu, senior economist at the Economist Intelligence Unit.
"Retail sales growth was decent, too, reflecting the vital
role of subsidies in supporting home appliance and mobile phone
sales."
U.S. President Donald Trump has piled an additional 20% of
tariffs on all Chinese goods and is threatening more action.
Exports were one of the lone bright spots for China's economy
last year.
China's industrial output grew 5.9% year-on-year in the
first two months, slowing from the 6.2% expansion in December,
according to the data from the National Bureau of Statistics
(NBS). However, it was ahead of expectations for a 5.3% rise in
a Reuters poll of 26 analysts.
Retail sales, a gauge of consumption, rose 4.0% in the
January-February period, better than a 3.7% rise in December and
marking the quickest rate since November 2024. Analysts had
expected retail sales to grow 4.0%.
Household consumption in the first two months were buoyed by
holiday spending during the 8-day Lunar New Year holidays, when
China's box office raked in record takings with animated hit
"Nezha 2".
China publishes data for the two months in a combined
release to smooth out the impact of the Lunar New Year holidays,
which fall in either of the two months.
In the annual parliament meeting earlier this month, China's
leaders pledged stronger fiscal and monetary support for the
economy.
Policymakers have put expanding domestic demand as the top
priority this year. Among other measures, they have lined up 300
billion yuan ($41.5 billion) for a recently-expanded consumer
goods trade-in scheme for electric vehicles, appliances and
other goods.
On Sunday, China's State Council unveiled a "special action
plan" to boost domestic consumption, featuring measures
including increasing residents' income and establishing a
childcare subsidy scheme.
Officials from the country's top economic ministries will
brief media on consumption-boosting measures later on Monday.
The urban survey-based jobless rate in February climbed to
5.4%, the highest in two years.
Fixed asset investment, which includes property and
infrastructure investment, expanded 4.1% in the Jan-Feb period
from the same period a year earlier, versus expectations for a
3.6% rise. It grew 3.2% in 2024.
($1 = 7.2308 Chinese yuan renminbi)