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China's Jan-Feb industrial output slows, retail sales growth picks up speed
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China's Jan-Feb industrial output slows, retail sales growth picks up speed
Mar 16, 2025 7:49 PM

BEIJING, March 17 (Reuters) - China's industrial output

slowed in January-February, while retail sales growth

accelerated slightly in a mixed start for the economy this year

as policymakers navigate mounting pressure from U.S. trade

tariffs.

The data followed weaker-than-expected exports and inflation

indicators earlier this month, as a burst of U.S. trade tariffs

against key trading partners including China threatens to upend

the global trade order and highlights the need for more policy

support to foster a sustainable economic recovery.

China's top leaders have maintained an economic growth

target of "around 5%" for 2025, but analysts say that may be a

tall order given pressure on exports, tepid household demand and

a protracted property crisis.

"The data release suggests a decent momentum in the opening

months, even if the economy remains in deflation," said Tianchen

Xu, senior economist at the Economist Intelligence Unit.

"Retail sales growth was decent, too, reflecting the vital

role of subsidies in supporting home appliance and mobile phone

sales."

U.S. President Donald Trump has piled an additional 20% of

tariffs on all Chinese goods and is threatening more action.

Exports were one of the lone bright spots for China's economy

last year.

China's industrial output grew 5.9% year-on-year in the

first two months, slowing from the 6.2% expansion in December,

according to the data from the National Bureau of Statistics

(NBS). However, it was ahead of expectations for a 5.3% rise in

a Reuters poll of 26 analysts.

Retail sales, a gauge of consumption, rose 4.0% in the

January-February period, better than a 3.7% rise in December and

marking the quickest rate since November 2024. Analysts had

expected retail sales to grow 4.0%.

Household consumption in the first two months were buoyed by

holiday spending during the 8-day Lunar New Year holidays, when

China's box office raked in record takings with animated hit

"Nezha 2".

China publishes data for the two months in a combined

release to smooth out the impact of the Lunar New Year holidays,

which fall in either of the two months.

In the annual parliament meeting earlier this month, China's

leaders pledged stronger fiscal and monetary support for the

economy.

Policymakers have put expanding domestic demand as the top

priority this year. Among other measures, they have lined up 300

billion yuan ($41.5 billion) for a recently-expanded consumer

goods trade-in scheme for electric vehicles, appliances and

other goods.

On Sunday, China's State Council unveiled a "special action

plan" to boost domestic consumption, featuring measures

including increasing residents' income and establishing a

childcare subsidy scheme.

Officials from the country's top economic ministries will

brief media on consumption-boosting measures later on Monday.

The urban survey-based jobless rate in February climbed to

5.4%, the highest in two years.

Fixed asset investment, which includes property and

infrastructure investment, expanded 4.1% in the Jan-Feb period

from the same period a year earlier, versus expectations for a

3.6% rise. It grew 3.2% in 2024.

($1 = 7.2308 Chinese yuan renminbi)

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