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China Caixin PMI grows in August in contrast to official
survey
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Chip producers South Korea, Taiwan see PMI expand in
August
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Japan's factory activity contracts at milder pace
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U.S. slowdown, election uncertainty cloud outlook for Asia
By Leika Kihara
TOKYO, Sept 2 (Reuters) - Asian factories, including
China's manufacturing sector, showed signs of a tentative
recovery in August and chip makers benefitted from firm demand,
private surveys showed on Monday, but economic headwinds loom.
Analysts say prospects of slowing U.S. growth, which is
likely to lead to interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this
month, and uncertainty over the outcome of the U.S. presidential
election cloud the trade outlook.
China's Caixin/S&P Global manufacturing purchasing managers'
index (PMI) rose to 50.4 in August from 49.8 in July, the
private survey showed on Monday, beating analysts' forecasts and
exceeding the 50 mark that separates growth from contraction.
The reading, which mostly covers smaller, export-oriented
firms, shows a more optimistic view than an official PMI survey
released on Saturday, which indicated an ongoing decline in
manufacturing activity in August.
"The PMIs for August suggest that economic momentum held
broadly steady last month, with modest improvements in
manufacturing and services helping to offset a further slowdown
in construction activity," Gabriel Ng, assistant economist at
Capital Economics, said in a research note on China's PMI.
"But with factory gate price declines accelerating, the
economy clearly remains at risk of slipping back into
deflation," Ng said.
Factory activity in South Korea and Taiwan also expanded in
August, while Japan saw a slower rate of contraction due in part
to solid global demand for semiconductors.
Japanese manufacturers also gained from a rebound in car
output after a safety scandal led some plants to temporarily
suspend production.
But manufacturing activity contracted in Malaysia and
Indonesia, the surveys showed, underscoring the pain some of the
region's economies are facing from China's prolonged slowdown.
"Chip-producing countries are doing fairly well, but China's
slowdown will continue to drag on Asia's manufacturing activity
for quite some time," said Toru Nishihama, chief emerging market
economist at Dai-ichi Life Research Institute.
"Slowing U.S. demand could add to the pain on Asian
economies, many of which are already wary of the fallout from
sluggish Chinese growth," he said.
Japan's final au Jibun Bank Japan manufacturing PMI rose to
49.8 in August, contracting for a second straight month but less
sharply than in July when the index reached 49.1.
South Korea's PMI stood at 51.9 in August, up from 51.4 in
July, due in part to strong customer confidence and new orders
in the domestic market, the private survey showed.
Malaysia's PMI stood at 49.7 in August, flat from the
previous month, while that of Indonesia fell to 48.9 from 49.3
in July, the surveys showed.
India's manufacturing activity growth eased to a three-month
low in August as demand softened significantly, casting another
shadow over the otherwise robust economic outlook.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) anticipates a soft
landing for Asia's economies as moderating inflation creates
room for central banks to ease monetary policies to support
growth. It predicts growth in the region to slow from 5% in 2023
to 4.5% this year and 4.3% in 2025.