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Euro zone factories remained mired in contraction
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China Caixin PMI grows in August in contrast to official
survey
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Japan's factory activity contracts at milder pace
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U.S. slowdown, election uncertainty cloud outlook
(Adds detail in paragraphs 1, 3, 5-11; comment in paragraph 4)
By Jonathan Cable and Leika Kihara
LONDON/TOKYO, Sept 2 (Reuters) - Factories in the euro
zone remained mired in contraction last month, surveys showed,
with the data suggesting a recovery could be some way off but
Asian and British manufacturers showed tentative signs of
recovery.
However, analysts say prospects of slowing U.S. growth,
which is likely to lead to interest rate cuts by the Federal
Reserve this month, and uncertainty over the outcome of the
presidential election there cloud the trade outlook.
HCOB's final euro zone manufacturing Purchasing Managers'
Index (PMI), compiled by S&P Global, stood at 45.8 in August,
just ahead of a 45.6 preliminary estimate but well below the 50
mark separating growth from contraction.
"The final August manufacturing PMI reading was yet another
indication the recovery of the industrial sector will neither be
immediate nor vigorous, as the euro zone index remains stuck in
contractionary territory," said Riccardo Marcelli Fabiani at
Oxford Economics.
A PMI covering new orders sank to its lowest since December
and demand from abroad also fell at the fastest rate this year.
That decline came as euro zone manufacturers raised their
prices for the first time in 16 months, driven by factories in
France, the Netherlands, Greece and Italy.
Still, overall inflation in the currency bloc fell to a
three-year low of 2.2% in August, preliminary official data
showed on Friday, strengthening the case for further policy
easing from the European Central Bank.
It will cut its deposit rate twice more this year, in
September and December, according to more than 80% of economists
in an August Reuters poll, fewer reductions than markets
currently expect.
The downturn in German manufacturing accelerated and in
France activity contracted at the fastest pace since January.
But in Britain factories had their strongest month in more
than two years as demand at home offset a fall in exports,
adding to signs of momentum in the economy.
That poses a favourable backdrop for the new government of
Prime Minister Keir Starmer who is seeking to speed up growth.
CHIPS
Asian chip makers benefited from firm demand but economic
headwinds pose a risk to the region.
China's Caixin/S&P Global manufacturing PMI rose to 50.4 in
August from 49.8 in July, beating analysts' forecasts.
The reading, mostly covering smaller, export-oriented firms,
shows a more optimistic view than an official PMI survey on
Saturday, which indicated an ongoing decline in manufacturing
activity.
"The PMIs for August suggest economic momentum held broadly
steady last month, with modest improvements in manufacturing and
services helping to offset a further slowdown in construction
activity," Gabriel Ng, assistant economist at Capital Economics,
said in a research note on China's PMI.
"But with factory gate price declines accelerating, the
economy clearly remains at risk of slipping back into
deflation," Ng said.
Factory activity in South Korea and Taiwan also expanded in
August, while Japan saw a slower rate of contraction due in part
to solid global demand for semiconductors.
Japanese manufacturers also gained from a rebound in car
output after a safety scandal led some plants to temporarily
suspend production.
But manufacturing activity contracted in Malaysia and
Indonesia, surveys showed, underscoring the pain some of the
region's economies are facing from China's prolonged slowdown.
"Chip-producing countries are doing fairly well, but China's
slowdown will continue to drag on Asia's manufacturing activity
for quite some time," said Toru Nishihama, chief emerging market
economist at Dai-ichi Life Research Institute.
"Slowing U.S. demand could add to the pain on Asian
economies, many of which are already wary of the fallout from
sluggish Chinese growth," he said.
Japan's final au Jibun Bank Japan manufacturing PMI rose to
49.8 in August, in contractionary territory for a second month
but less sharply than in July.
South Korea's PMI stood at 51.9, up from 51.4 in July, in
part due to strong customer confidence and new orders in the
domestic market. Malaysia's PMI held at 49.7 while Indonesia's
fell to 48.9.
India's manufacturing activity growth eased to a three-month
low as demand softened significantly, casting another shadow
over the otherwise robust economic outlook.