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Alphabet, SK Hynix ( HXSCF ), Infosys offer upbeat guidance
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Rosy forecasts come against backdrop of tariff uncertainty
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Governments scramble for tariff deals ahead of August 1
deadline
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Hyundai Motor ( HYMTF ) expects tariffs to take bigger toll in Q3
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Markets bolstered by strong tech results
July 24 (Reuters) - Businesses focused on artificial
intelligence are raking it in so far this earnings season. Those
catering to actual people, less so.
The AI spending surge is providing a big boost for
semiconductor and software giants like Google parent Alphabet
, while companies from airlines to restaurants and food
manufacturers are struggling to navigate an erratic U.S. trade
policy which is boosting costs, upending supply chains and
hurting consumer confidence.
Along with Alphabet, SK Hynix ( HXSCF ) and India's Infosys
exceeded market forecasts on Thursday and predicted
brighter days to come, with Alphabet and SK Hynix ( HXSCF ) both flagging
plans to boost spending. SK supplies the world's most valuable
company Nvidia ( NVDA ), the AI chipmaking giant that recently
surpassed $4 trillion in market value.
By contrast, executives at many consumer names were less
enthusiastic, from luxury bellwether LVMH, packaged
food giant Nestle, to toymakers Hasbro ( HAS ) and
Mattel ( MAT ) and airlines Southwest ( LUV ) and American
.
They, along with automakers and giants like Coca-Cola,
have indicated that some segments of the buying public have
pulled in their spending as prices and interest rates remain
high.
The dichotomy is evident in IBM's results. Sales in Big Blue's
"AI book of business" grew 25 percent in its most recent quarter
to $7.5 billion, while its software segment fell short of
expectations and the company sounded cautious about how much its
consulting segment might grow this year.
The equity market has accentuated the positive. News that the
U.S. had struck a trade deal with Japan and was closing in on a
deal with the European Union ahead of an Aug 1. deadline boosted
markets. The broad S&P 500 notched another record this
week and the Eurostoxx was just a few points shy of
that mark.
"The market is getting friendly with a view that tariffs
ending up higher than they have ever been for 100 years will not
have a negative impact on economic growth, because we haven't
seen any negative impact on economic growth so far," said Van
Luu, head of solutions strategy, fixed income and foreign
exchange at Russell Investments.
Whether companies continue to absorb that hit remains to be
seen. So far, companies have reported over July 16-22 a combined
full-year loss of as much as $7.8 billion, with automotive,
aerospace and pharmaceutical sectors hurt the most by tariffs,
according to a Reuters tariff tracker.
U.S. averages have been buoyed by the so-called Magnificent
Seven, a group of tech giants that has benefited heavily from
spending plans on artificial intelligence, and currently
accounts for more than 30% of the value of the S&P.
"AI is one of the strongest areas of growth for the economy, and
the market mirrors the economy," said Adam Sarhan, chief
executive of 50 Park Investments.
To be sure, the market's reaction may be in part because a
larger-than-normal percentage of companies are clearing a
lowered bar for estimates. At the beginning of April, the market
expected 10.2% year-over-year S&P earnings growth, but by July,
that number had dropped to 5.8%, according to LSEG data. With
about 30% of constituents reporting results, the blended
earnings growth rate sits at 7.7%.
TECH GOES FULL SPEED AHEAD
AI-focused businesses continued to print money in the most
recent quarter. Nvidia ( NVDA ) supplier SK Hynix ( HXSCF ) posted record
quarterly profit, boosted by demand for artificial intelligence
chips and customers stockpiling ahead of potential U.S. tariffs.
Indian IT services provider Infosys raised the floor
of its annual revenue forecast range to 1% to 3%, from flat to
3%, matching analyst expectations.
"The tech community is going ahead full speed ahead... and banks
are in a very strong position now," said Bill George, former
chairman and CEO of Medtronic and executive education fellow at
Harvard Business School. "Other companies will struggle to get
growth."
UNCERTAIN CONSUMER
Consumer companies have been less upbeat. Nestle, the world's
biggest packaged food maker, reported softer demand as it
struggled to win thrifty shoppers to its big brands.
U.S. airlines Southwest ( LUV ) and American Airlines ( AAL ) warned that
Americans are travelling less, the latest signal that U.S.
consumers are remaining cautious about their spending. Toymakers
Mattel and Hasbro ( HAS ) both said uncertainties around tariffs are
acting as a headwind.
Carmakers are among firms dealing with the most difficulty. The
auto giants are resisting raising prices, eating the cost of
tariffs that may cost them millions or billions of dollars.
Levies on metals, copper and auto parts made it harder to
navigate changing tariff policies.
South Korea's Hyundai Motor ( HYMTF ) on Thursday posted a 16%
decline in second-quarter operating profit, saying U.S. tariffs
cost it 828 billion won ($606.5 million) in the second quarter,
with a bigger hit expected in the current quarter. General
Motors ( GM ) still expects a $4 billion to $5 billion hit to
its bottom line this year.
On Wednesday, Tesla Chief Executive Elon Musk said U.S.
government cuts in support for electric vehicle makers could
lead to a "few rough quarters", as his firm reported its worst
quarterly sales decline in over a decade.
($1 = 1,365 won)