WASHINGTON, Sept 17 (Reuters) - U.S. credit rating
agency Moody's Ratings flagged several potential risks in Oracle
Corp's ( ORCL ) $300 billion of recently signed artificial
intelligence contracts, but stopped short of taking ratings
action against the software giant.
Oracle said this month it expected booked revenue
at its Oracle Cloud Infrastructure business to exceed half a
trillion dollars.
The Wall Street Journal then reported that OpenAI had signed
a contract to purchase $300 billion in computing power from
Oracle over roughly five years, marking one of the biggest cloud
contracts ever signed. A majority of the new revenue Oracle
described will come from the OpenAI deal, the report said.
Moody's analysts on Wednesday referred to $300 billion in
recently signed contracts without naming the customers involved.
They noted the contracts highlight the "tremendous
potential" for Oracle's AI infrastructure business. But they
also brought attention to several risks laid out in Moody's July
ratings action, where the agency revised Oracle's credit rating
outlook to negative from stable.
One of the main risks flagged by Moody's involved the
"counterparty risk" of Oracle relying on large commitments from
a small number of AI companies to fund its business model.
"Counterparty risk is always a key consideration in any type
of project financing, particularly where there is a high
reliance on revenue from a single counterparty," Moody's
analysts wrote on Wednesday.
"And in our view, Oracle's data center build is effectively
one of, if not the world's largest, project financing," they
added.
The analysts further noted the company will see its debt
increase faster than its EBITDA, which will contribute to a
forecast high leverage of 4x before Oracle's EBITDA begins to
outpace its debt.
"It is likely that free cash flow will also be negative for
an extended period before reaching breakeven," the analysts
wrote.
Oracle had a Moody's issuer rating of Baa2, which is at the
lower end of investment-grade credit ratings.