*
2025 GDP forecast trimmed to 3.1% vs previous 3.14%
*
Potential US tariffs could slow growth
*
2025 exports expected to rise by 8.99% vs previous 7.08%
*
Inflation forecast cut to 1.88% vs 1.94% previously
(Adds statistics agency comment in paragraph 5, context
throughout)
TAIPEI, May 28 (Reuters) - Taiwan's trade-reliant
economy is expected to grow at a slower pace in 2025 than
previously forecast, as uncertainty over possible U.S. tariffs
weighs on growth, the statistics agency said on Wednesday.
A semiconductor powerhouse that runs a large trade
surplus with the U.S., Taiwan was facing duties of 32% on its
U.S. imports until U.S. President Donald Trump paused tariffs
for 90 days to allow negotiations to take place.
Taiwan's gross domestic product is now expected to rise
3.1% this year, the official forecast from the Directorate
General of Budget, Accounting and Statistics showed, slightly
lower than the 3.14% it forecast in February.
One main uncertainty is "the outcome of U.S. trade tariff
negotiations with various countries that can have a far-reaching
impact on the global economy, inflation, and supply chains," it
said in a statement.
It also said that weak growth in consumption and
domestic investments could contribute to slowing growth.
In April, the statistics agency unexpectedly said it would
raise its full-year growth forecast to 3.6% on strong tech
demand.
Taiwan is a key hub in the global technology supply
chain for companies such as Apple ( AAPL ) and Nvidia ( NVDA ),
and home to the world's largest contract chipmaker, Taiwan
Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd ( TSM ) .
The United States is Taiwan's second-biggest export
destination after China.
Taiwan's exports this year are expected to grow by 8.99%,
the agency said, upgrading a previous forecast of 7.08%.
GDP expanded by 5.48% in the first quarter, the statistics
agency said, compared to a preliminary reading of 5.37%, and was
the fastest rate of growth since the first quarter of 2024 when
the economy expanded 6.64%.
The forecast for the consumer price index (CPI) was lowered
to 1.88% from 1.94% previously.