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Climate change threatens 32% of chip industry's copper
supply by
2035-PwC report
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Risk rises to between 42% and 58% by 2050
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Main risk comes from drought affecting copper processing
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No chipmaking region spared from supply risks
By Nathan Vifflin
AMSTERDAM, July 8 (Reuters) - Some 32% of global
semiconductor production could face climate change related
copper supply disruptions by 2035, quadrupling from today's
levels, advisory firm PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) said in a
report for business leaders on Tuesday.
Chile, the world's largest copper producer, already grapples
with water shortages that are slowing down production. By 2035,
most of the 17 countries supplying the chip industry will be at
risk of drought, PwC said.
The last global chip shortage, fueled by a pandemic-driven
demand spike that coincided with factory shutdowns, crippled the
automotive industry and halted production lines across other
chip-dependent sectors.
"It cost the U.S. economy a full percentage point in GDP
growth and Germany 2.4%," PwC project lead Glenn Burm said in
the report, citing the U.S. Department of Commerce.
Copper miners from China, Australia, Peru, Brazil, the U.S.,
Democratic Republic of Congo, Mexico, Zambia and Mongolia will
also be affected, sparing none of the world's chipmaking regions
from risk, PwC said.
Copper is used to make the billions of tiny wires inside
every chip's circuit. Even if alternatives are being researched,
there is currently no match for its price and performance.
The risk will only increase over time if innovation on
materials does not adapt to climate change, and a more secure
water supply is not developed in the affected countries, PwC
said.
"Around half of every country's copper supply is at risk by
2050 - no matter how fast the world reduces carbon emissions,"
the report says.
Chile and Peru have taken steps to secure their water supply
by increasing mining efficiency and building desalination
plants. This is exemplary, PwC says, but may not be a solution
for countries with no access to large bodies of sea water.
PwC estimates that 25% of Chile's copper production is at
risk of disruptions today, rising to 75% within a decade and to
between 90% and 100% by 2050.