financetom
World
financetom
/
World
/
Asia shares, gold underpinned by rate cut hopes
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Asia shares, gold underpinned by rate cut hopes
Aug 18, 2024 6:16 PM

SYDNEY (Reuters) - Asian stocks were taking a breather on Monday after global equities enjoyed their best week in nine months on expectations the U.S. economy would dodge a recession and cooling inflation would kick off a cycle of interest rate cuts.

The prospect of lower borrowing costs saw gold clear $2,500 an ounce for the first time and the dollar dip against the euro, though both the safe haven yen and Swiss franc receded as risk appetites recovered.

Federal Reserve members Mary Daly and Austan Goolsbee were out over the weekend to flag the possibility of easing in September, while minutes of the last policy meeting due this week should underline the dovish outlook.

Fed chair Jerome Powell speaks in Jackson Hole on Friday and investors assume he will acknowledge the case for a cut.

"Although it may be too early to declare victory - and central bankers will certainly be prudent to avoid this in their official rhetoric - the inflation scare that had dominated the policy debate since prices started to soar during the pandemic has now largely vanished," said Barclays economist Christian Keller.

"Inflation may not be quite at the 2% target yet, but it is close and going in the right direction."

Futures are fully priced for a quarter-point move, and imply a 25% chance of 50 basis points with much depending on what the next payrolls report shows.

Analysts at Goldman Sachs cautioned that annual benchmark revisions to the jobs series are due on Wednesday which could see a large downward revision of between 600,000 and one million positions, though this would likely overstate the weakness of the labour market.

For now, the expectation of a softer than soft landing for the U.S. economy has S&P 500 futures up 0.2% and Nasdaq futures ahead by 0.3%, on top of last week's gains.[.N]

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan edged up 0.2%, having rallied 2.8% last week.

Japan's Nikkei slipped 0.4%, but that followed a near 9% bounce last week.

The Fed is hardly alone in contemplating looser policy, with Sweden's central bank expected to cut rates this week, and possibly by an outsized 50 basis points.

In currency markets, the euro was steady at $1.1025, just below last week's top of $1.1047. The dollar stood at 147.79, having been as high as 149.40 last week. [USD/]

"The overall Fed message this week is likely to reassure market participants looking for confirmation that policy rate cuts are now imminent," said Jonas Goltermann, deputy chief markets economist at Capital Economics.

"As such, the greenback may well remain under pressure in the near term, although given the extent to which Fed easing is already discounted, we doubt there is that much further dollar weakness in store."

A softer dollar combined with lower bond yields to help gold hold at $2,506 an ounce, and near an all-time peak of $2,509.69. [GOL/]

Oil prices dipped again as concerns about Chinese demand continued to weigh on sentiment. [O/R]

Brent fell 29 cents to $79.39 a barrel, while U.S. crude lost 27 cents to $76.38 per barrel.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Bolivian bonds rally after leftist party suffers election defeat
Bolivian bonds rally after leftist party suffers election defeat
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18 (Reuters) - Bolivia's international dollar bonds hit a record high on Monday after early official results showed the ruling Movement for Socialism (MAS) party on track for its worst election defeat in a generation. The bond maturing in 2030 rose more than 3 cents on the dollar to bid at 79.86 cents, according to Tradeweb data. Investors had...
GLOBAL MARKETS-Global stocks drift as traders await Ukraine talks, Jackson Hole
GLOBAL MARKETS-Global stocks drift as traders await Ukraine talks, Jackson Hole
Aug 18, 2025
* U.S., European stocks steady as traders await cues on geopolitics, Fed * Oil little changed as Ukraine's Zelenskiy heads to Washington * Dollar, nudges higher before Jackson Hole (Updates after Wall Street open) By Samuel Indyk and Wayne Cole LONDON, Aug 18 (Reuters) - U.S. and European shares started the week on a cautious footing ahead of a potentially...
CANADA STOCKS-TSX opens lower as investors brace for data, Fed conference, Ukraine talks
CANADA STOCKS-TSX opens lower as investors brace for data, Fed conference, Ukraine talks
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18 (Reuters) - Canada's main stock index opened lower on Monday as investors reined in big bets, kicking off a busy week featuring Ukraine peace talks, a key U.S. central bank conference and domestic inflation data. At 9:30 a.m. ET (1330 GMT), the Toronto Stock Exchange's S&P/TSX composite index was down 0.07% at 27,887.29 points. ...
PRECIOUS-Gold rises on softer yields, focus on Trump-Zelenskiy meeting and Jackson Hole summit
PRECIOUS-Gold rises on softer yields, focus on Trump-Zelenskiy meeting and Jackson Hole summit
Aug 18, 2025
* Treasury yields slip from more than two-week high * Zelenskiy to meet Trump in Washington later on Monday * Palladium gains after hitting lowest level since July 10 (Updates for U.S. morning hours) By Noel John Aug 18 (Reuters) - Gold prices edged higher on Monday, buoyed by easing U.S. Treasury yields, while investors focused on U.S. President Donald...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved