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STOXX 600 down 0.7% this month, outperforming 3% S&P 500
fall
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European equity funds see first weekly inflow since
October
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Low valuations, Trump uncertainties aid European stocks
By Naomi Rovnick
LONDON, Jan 8 (Reuters) - Beaten-down European stocks
are luring investors back after a record underperformance versus
Wall Street in 2024, as fears about U.S. economic shocks under
incoming President Donald Trump boost the appeal of
international markets.
Amundi, Europe's largest investor, said on Wednesday it had
"turned constructive on Europe" because the effect of trade war
fears on valuations was exaggerated.
Funds that invest in European equities have also just
recorded their first weekly net inflow since October, Lipper
data showed, after several big banks this week tipped the market
for a 2025 turnaround.
The STOXX 600 index of blue-chip European shares
has lost 0.7% this month but outperformed the U.S. S&P 500
, which has dropped nearly 3% on fading hopes for U.S.
interest rate cuts and policy uncertainty.
Barclays ( JJCTF ) on Wednesday said the European market's
"risk-reward" profile was improving, citing "emerging anxiety
around Trumponomics".
Deutsche Bank and Citi this week forecast double-digit
returns for the STOXX this year, while Goldman Sachs ( GS ) said the
market's lowly-valued companies were likely takeover targets.
The STOXX 600 ended 2024 at its biggest discount to the S&P
on record, LSEG data showed, as investors flocked to so-called
"Trump trades" that bet his policies will lift most U.S. assets.
"There's room to take the other side of that trade and one
of the main beneficiaries will be international markets," Baird
strategist Ross Mayfield said, arguing policy shocks would
weaken the dollar and boost U.S. investors' interest in
euro-denominated assets.
Investors are growing increasingly concerned about tariffs
refueling U.S. inflation and prompting the Federal Reserve to
hike rates, Bank of America said following its most recent
survey of global fund managers.
Conflicting reports about Trump's tariff plans drove the
U.S. currency sharply lower on Monday and left investors braced
for more U.S. market swings.
"I've moved from really disliking international markets to
saying I think there is a diversification benefit," Raymond
James Investment Management chief market strategist Matt Orton
said.
Cheaply-valued European banks, he said, were now "very
attractive", while he also favoured the region's aerospace and
defence stocks.
The revival in interest in European stocks follows months of
gloom as French and German politics plunged into chaos and
tariff threats pressure euro zone exporters.
The euro zone economy remains weak, but after four European
Central Bank rate cuts last year a long-term decline in euro
zone business activity has eased.
"We should have (had) the trough in the euro zone," Edmond
de Rothschild Asset Management portfolio manager Marie de
Leyssac said.
A European market rebound in 2025 was likely given last
year's "extreme underperformance", she added.
Janus Henderson ( JHG ) multi-asset fund manager Oliver Blackbourn
said he was not yet buying into European stocks, but had also
become nervous about heady Wall Street valuations.
"If we do see more improvements in European economic data
then we'd get more positive pretty quickly," he said