TOKYO, April 3 (Reuters) - Benchmark Japanese government
bond (JGB) yields touched a near three-decade high on Friday as
the Middle East war neared its fifth week, escalating concerns
about inflation and economic slowdown.
The benchmark 10-year JGB yield reached
2.395%, the highest since February 1999, before edging 0.5 basis
point (bp) lower to 2.385%. The two-year yield,
the one most sensitive to Bank of Japan policy rates, was at
1.385%, a level not seen since May 1995. Yields move inversely
to bond prices.
In a highly anticipated speech that aired during Asian
trading hours on Thursday, U.S. President Donald Trump repeated
threats against Iran's civilian power plants and gave no clear
timeline for ending hostilities. Since it began with a joint
U.S.-Israeli aerial assault on February 28, the war continues to
spread chaos across the region, driving prices for petroleum
products sharply higher.
Japan's economy remains exposed to spikes in crude oil
prices due to its reliance on imported energy. Inflationary
risks erode the real value of fixed bond payments and increase
pressure on the central bank to tighten monetary policy in order
to contain prices.
"There is a possibility that interest rates will be pushed
lower to some extent by dip-buying," Ataru Okumura, a senior
strategist at SMBC Nikko Securities, said in a note.
"There is also a risk of a bear steepening due to
expectations of accelerating inflation, so it is unlikely that
interest rates will decline significantly."
The 20-year JGB yield climbed 2.5 bps to
3.290%, while the 30-year yield added 2 bps to
3.7%.
"If the government adopts a more expansionary fiscal stance
as the war in Iran drags on, it could have a significant impact
on ultra-long-term interest rates," Noriatsu Tanji, chief bond
strategist at Mizuho Securities, said in a note.
"In particular, as mentioned above, if supply constraints
lead to large-scale restrictions on economic activity, pressure
for fiscal expansion is likely to intensify."
(Reporting by Rocky Swift in Tokyo; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu)