*
Tenors up to 10 years advance as prime minister vows to
stay on
*
Longer-dated JGBs retreat ahead of 40-year bond sale on
Wednesday
*
Fiscal worries could reassert selling pressure on bonds,
SMBC
says
(Updates prices following the close of futures trading, adds
additional analyst comment, bullets)
By Kevin Buckland
TOKYO, July 22 (Reuters) - Shorter-dated Japanese
government bonds rose on Tuesday as investors returning from a
long holiday weekend assessed the fiscal implications of the
ruling coalition's election defeat.
The market was also supported by rallies in European and
U.S. bonds on Monday.
At the same time, longer-dated JGBs retreated ahead of an
auction of 40-year bonds on Wednesday.
Benchmark 10-year JGBs advanced, pushing yields
down 2 basis points to 1.5% as of 0714 GMT.
The two-year JGB yield declined 1.5 bps to
0.75%, and the five-year yield slipped 2 bps to
1.02%.
Ten-year JGB futures ended the session 0.25 yen
higher at 138.60 yen.
Japan's ruling coalition lost control of the upper house in
Sunday's election, a widely anticipated setback that further
eroded the authority of Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba, who lost
his majority in the more powerful lower house in October.
While the ballot does not directly decide the fate of
Ishiba's administration, and the embattled leader has vowed to
stay on for now, it could lead to policy paralysis or a bigger
fiscal deficit, with leading opposition parties calling for
debt-funded consumption tax cuts to ease the burden of rising
living costs.
Ishiba has rejected calls for tax cuts in favour of cash
handouts, paid using tax revenues, and Finance Minister
Katsunobu Kato reiterated on Tuesday the government's stance
that sales tax cuts are not appropriate.
Japan has the largest debt burden in the developed world at
about 250% of its gross domestic product.
The fact that the coalition avoided a worst-case scenario
with the election result led investors to unwind bearish JGB
bets on Tuesday, according to Nomura's head of macro research,
Yunosuke Ikeda.
"The fiscal outlook is much better now than before the
election," Ikeda said.
"That may help avert a big disappointment at tomorrow's
40-year auction."
Last Tuesday, the 10-year JGB yield rose to the highest
since October 2008 at 1.595% after opinion polls increasingly
pointed to opposition gains. The 30-year yield
shot to an all-time peak of 3.2%, and the 20-year yield
leapt to the highest since November 1999 at
2.65%.
In the latest session, the 20-year yield added 1 bp to
2.535%, while the 30-year yield rose 1.5 bps to 3.085% and the
40-year yield moved up 2 bps to 3.375%.
Daisuke Uno, chief strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui Banking
Corporation, said upward momentum in long-dated yields could
build again.
"The election defeat shows that the consensus among voters
is 'no' to cash handouts, meaning that the consumption tax cuts
advocated by opposition parties are looking more likely to be
realised, although the scale and duration would still need to be
determined," he said. "The political situation remains fluid."
(Reporting by Kevin Buckland; Additional reporting by Mariko
Sakaguchi; Editing by Mrigank Dhaniwala and Subhranshu Sahu)