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Tech sell-off due to risk aversion -Erlen Capital's
Schneller
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September sees stock buying slow due to seasonal trends
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Few catalysts to buy, valuations high, BLKBRD's Izzo says
By Nell Mackenzie
LONDON, Aug 20 (Reuters) - Big investors, fearful of
September's typical seasonal declines, exited profitable stock
positions on Tuesday, according to investors and trading company
research, a sign the selloff in tech may be driven by a broad
aversion to risk.
The tech-heavy Nasdaq and broad S&P 500 stock index
sold off sharply on Tuesday, driven by tech stocks that
have rallied hard for much of the year. Nvidia ( NVDA ) sank
3.5%, the biggest drop in nearly four months.
"This week's tech sell-off looks less like panic and more
like a broad reshuffling of risk," said Bruno Schneller,
managing director at investor Erlen Capital Management.
"We've seen crypto, high-beta tech and the AI beneficiaries
all come under pressure at the same time, which suggests
investors are cutting exposure across multiple risk assets
rather than reacting to a single headline."
A momentum shift was taking place, noted two other hedge
fund investors, declining to be named because they were not
authorised to speak publicly.
Hedge funds and asset managers were selling their winners,
they said. This theme played out earlier on Wednesday in Korean
technology stocks and China biotech-related equities, one of the
sources said.
This week's market moves could be a sign of things to come
in the weeks ahead.
BUYING EVAPORATES
September 3 has historically notched highs for the benchmark
S&P 500 index since 1928, after which stocks have fallen
most years, said Scott Rubner, head of equity and equity
derivatives strategy at Citadel Securities in a note on Tuesday.
Stock buying routinely evaporates in September as retail
buyers slow their purchases and companies buying back their own
stock stop in mid-September for regulatory reasons, Rubner said.
"After a summer of strong positioning and relentless upside,
September historically brings a shift," he added.
Currently, systematic traders such as hedge funds and trend
followers have bought all the stock they had planned to and
further appetite to push equities higher has petered out,
Citadel Securities said.
"The final week of August often coincides with low volumes
due to vacations, and barbeques contributing to upward drift in
stocks, especially in low-volume environments," said Rubner.
Plus, larger asset managers will begin to reassess or
rebalance their portfolios ahead of the quarter's end in
September.
"Mostly, we've run out of catalysts to buy more. Valuations
are high. What can you point at to justify any higher?" said
hedge fund BLKBRD's owner and founder Dan Izzo.