financetom
World
financetom
/
World
/
British assets gain, mid-cap stocks lead after Labour party election win
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
British assets gain, mid-cap stocks lead after Labour party election win
Jul 5, 2024 2:27 AM

LONDON (Reuters) -British domestic-focussed mid-cap stocks were the biggest gainers on Friday after the centre-left Labour Party surged to a comprehensive win in a parliamentary election with blue chip stocks, government bond prices and the pound higher.

Hopes that the incoming government will provide a period of economic stability after an often tumultuous 14 years of Conservative Party rule sent the FTSE 250 midcap index up as much as 1.8% in early trading to its highest since April 2022.

The blue chip FTSE 100 index was last up 0.2% and the yield on 10-year British government bonds or gilts, dropped 3 basis points to 4.17%, marginally better than other European markets.

Bond yields move inversely to prices.

Labour won a massive majority in the 650-seat parliament while Rishi Sunak's Conservatives suffered the worst defeat in the party's long history as voters punished them for a cost of living crisis, failing public services, and a series of scandals.

"A landslide victory provides the sort of clarity and stability that equity markets need in an increasingly volatile world," said Ben Ritchie, head of developed market equities at abrdn.

"If the new government gets this right, businesses with significant exposure to the UK economy should be the likely winners - a shot in the arm in particular for companies in the FTSE 250 and FTSE Small Cap".

British home builders stood out, with an index tracking their shares up 2.3%.

"We think the formation of a Labour-majority government will have a positive impact on housebuilders and construction materials," said Aruna Karunathilake, portfolio manager at Fidelity.

"We expect Labour to reinstate housebuilding targets and perhaps also fund investment in local planning departments... That should alleviate builders' concerns about planning bottlenecks impeding growth in the medium term."

Analysts at Goldman Sachs said that while Labour's manifesto policies imply relatively limited changes to fiscal policy they would modestly boost demand in the near term.

As a result, they raised their forecasts for British GDP growth by 0.1 percentage points in each of 2025 and 2026.

GILTS IN FOCUS

British government bonds, or gilts, will be in focus as the memory of the market chaos triggered by former prime minister Liz Truss' "mini budget" of September 2022 is still relatively fresh in investors' minds.

Truss lost her parliamentary seat in Thursday's election.

Britain's stretched finances will give any new government little leeway to increase spending, and so preserving investor trust while tackling numerous economic challenges will be paramount, though stability will help.

"I do think this (election result) is in itself a positive for the gilt market," said James Lynch, fixed income manager at Aegon Asset Management.

"I think you're taking away one of the sources of volatility which we have had for the gilt market over the last few years, which is political instability. And that now really has gone away for the next few years," he said.

Relative economic stability in recent years has already been having an effect.

The premium that investors demand for the extra risk of holding gilts rather than top-rated German 10-year bonds has remained stable this year at around 160 basis points - far below the 230 basis points seen during a mini-budget crisis in 2022.

That premium was down 2 basis points at 159 basis points on Friday.

The focus for bond investors will turn to the Bank of England, which is widely expected to lower interest rates either in August or September.

Sterling was up nearly 0.13% against the dollar at $1.2775 and steady against the euro, which was at around 84.72 pence.

The British currency has been edging up since Sunak called the election in late May, earlier than anticipated. It is the strongest-performing major currency this year, up 0.3% against the dollar.

On a trade-weighted basis, the pound is now back where it was in 2016, at the time of the Brexit vote, reflecting a belief among traders and investors that a period of intense market volatility, driven by political and economic tumult under the Conservatives, may be drawing to a close.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
British assets gain, mid-cap stocks lead after Labour party election win
British assets gain, mid-cap stocks lead after Labour party election win
Jul 5, 2024
LONDON (Reuters) -British domestic-focussed mid-cap stocks were the biggest gainers on Friday after the centre-left Labour Party surged to a comprehensive win in a parliamentary election with blue chip stocks, government bond prices and the pound higher. Hopes that the incoming government will provide a period of economic stability after an often tumultuous 14 years of Conservative Party rule sent...
World food prices hold firm in June, UN's FAO reports
World food prices hold firm in June, UN's FAO reports
Jul 5, 2024
ROME, July 5 (Reuters) - The United Nations world food price index held steady in June data showed on Friday, with increases in vegetable oil, sugar and dairy products offset by a fall in the price of cereals. The U.N. Food and Agriculture Organization's price index, which tracks the most globally traded food commodities, averaged 120.6 points in June, unchanged...
EMERGING MARKETS-China yields inch up as PBOC hints at bond sales; Romania rate decision ahead
EMERGING MARKETS-China yields inch up as PBOC hints at bond sales; Romania rate decision ahead
Jul 5, 2024
(Updated at 0850 GMT) * Israel sends delegation to negotiate hostage release with Hamas * Poland's inflation to peak in Q1 2025, c.bank says * Korean shares end near over 2 yr high on Samsung boost * Stocks up 0.1%, currencies flat By Johann M Cherian July 5 (Reuters) - Most emerging markets stocks and currencies were muted on Friday...
UK election relief, tech rally pull European shares to more than 1-week high
UK election relief, tech rally pull European shares to more than 1-week high
Jul 5, 2024
* UK midcaps at one-month high * Eyes on French election, US payrolls * Aixtron rallies on strong orders (Updated at 0833 GMT) By Sruthi Shankar and Jesus Calero July 5 (Reuters) - European stocks rose to a more than a one-week high on Friday after the Labour Party's return to power in the UK general election gave investors a...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved