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CANADA FX DEBT-Canadian dollar steadies ahead of retail sales data
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CANADA FX DEBT-Canadian dollar steadies ahead of retail sales data
May 26, 2025 12:52 PM

*

Loonie trades in a range of 1.3847 to 1.3889

*

Price of U.S. oil settles 0.6% lower

*

Bond yields ease across the curve

By Fergal Smith

TORONTO, May 22 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar steadied

against its U.S. counterpart on Thursday as the greenback

notched broad-based gains and ahead of domestic retail sales

data that could offer further clues on prospects of the Bank of

Canada remaining on hold.

The loonie was trading nearly unchanged at 1.3865 per

U.S. dollar, or 72.12 U.S. cents, after trading in a range of

1.3847 to 1.3889.

"Overall mood music on the CAD is turning more bullish,

essentially reflecting the increasingly negative perspective

investors have on the USD outlook," Shaun Osborne and Eric

Theoret, strategists at Scotiabank, said in a note.

"Higher core inflation for April makes a June rate cut

highly unlikely," the strategists added.

Investors expect the Bank of Canada to leave its benchmark

interest rate unchanged at 2.75% at a policy decision on June 4,

rather than resuming an easing campaign, after data on Tuesday

showed underlying inflation heating up in April.

Canadian retail sales data for March is due on Friday, with

economists forecasting a month-over-month increase of 0.7%.

The U.S. dollar advanced after three days of losses,

as the House of Representatives narrowly passed President Donald

Trump's bill for huge tax and spending cuts.

The price of oil, one of Canada's major exports,

settled 0.6% lower at $61.20 a barrel as a report that OPEC+ is

discussing a production increase for July stoked concerns that

global supply could outpace demand growth.

Finance ministers and central bank governors from the Group

of Seven democracies, who met in the Canadian Rocky Mountains,

pledged to address "excessive imbalances" in the global economy

and said they could increase sanctions on Russia.

Canadian government bond yields moved lower across the

curve, tracking moves in U.S. Treasuries. The 10-year

was down 1.8 basis points at 3.370%, after climbing

on Wednesday to a four-month high.

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