PRAGUE, Oct 1 (Reuters) - The Czech crown hit an
eight-week low against the euro on Tuesday as rising risk
aversion and data showing continued decline in the region's
manufacturing sector kept central Europe's currencies on the
back foot.
The crown slipped as low as 25.280 to the euro in morning
trade before steadying to 25.269 by 0926 GMT, 0.2%
weaker on the day.
The region's currencies have been on a downward slope,
mainly led by the crown and Hungarian forint after their
respective central banks extended long-running interest
rate-cutting cycles last week.
Focus will turn to the Polish and Romanian central banks
this week, which are expected to stay on hold but markets will
look for new clues on the rate outlook.
In the meantime, global markets have guided the region in
recent sessions. The U.S. dollar rallied broadly on Tuesday
after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell pushed back against
bets on more supersized interest rate cuts.
"The dollar's gains did not help," bank CSOB analysts said.
"Global yields and the eurodollar before Friday's U.S. payrolls
data will be a further dynamic (for currencies)."
A continued manufacturing downturn that is weighing on
central Europe's economy is another drag on the region's
currencies.
Purchasing Managers' Indices published on Tuesday showed
activity in central Europe stayed in contraction territory last
month, with weak demand mainly from key trading partner Germany
the biggest reason.
Poland's zloty fell 0.1% to 4.28 to the euro while
Romania's leu and Hungary's forint were both
steady, with the latter trading at 397.25 to the euro.
The forint, the region's worst performer this year with a
3.5% drop, is trading less than 1% away from the psychological
400 per euro level. The forint last weakened past that level in
March 2023.
A trader in Budapest said risk aversion was higher after
Israel's ground incursion into south Lebanon.
"There was some expectation that the forint could strengthen
after the end-of-the-month weakening but this war is making that
impossible due to risk aversion," the trader said.
CEE SNAPSHOT AT
MARKETS 1126
CET
CURRENCIES
Latest Previo Daily Change
us
trade close change in 2024
Czech 0
Hungary 00
Polish Romania Serbian 00
Note: calculated from 1800 CET
daily
change
Latest Previo Daily Change
us
close change in 2024
Prague 1609.41 1611.2 -0.11% +13.82
100 %
Budapes 74197.02 73896. +0.41% +22.40
t 18 %
Warsaw 3
Buchare 17616.02 17616. -0.01% +14.60
st 92 %
Spread Daily
vs Bund change
in
Czech spread
Republi
c
0
0
Poland
0
FORWARD RATE
AGREEMENTS
3x6 6x9 9x12 3M
interba
nk
Czech Hungary Poland Note: are for ask prices
FRA
quotes
************************************************
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(Reporting by Jason Hovet in Prague, Anita Komuves in Budapest,
and Pawel Florkiewicz in Warsaw)