WARSAW, Sept 25 (Reuters) - The crown edged lower on
Wednesday before an expected Czech interest rate cut while the
forint touched a 1-1/2 week low after Hungarian rate setters
resumed their policy easing after a short pause.
The Czech and Hungarian central banks have been the most
consistent in central Europe in loosening policy since last
year, with the latter reducing what had been the highest rates
in Europe through a combined 1,150 basis points in cuts.
Hungary's central bank, after a pause last month, cut
interest rates again on Tuesday and markets expect the Czech
National Bank to deliver a 25-basis-point rate cut later on
Wednesday.
By 1022 GMT the crown had eased 0.12% to 25.1240
per euro, pulling back after slowly firming toward the
psychological 25 per euro level in previous sessions.
ING said inflation that has been above central bank
forecasts may prompt the bank to stay hawkish in its outlook,
which could give the crown a boost.
"We believe the CNB can push EUR/CZK below 25.00 today," ING
said.
On Tuesday, the National Bank of Hungary (NBH) trimmed its
base rate by 25 basis points to 6.5%, aided by a
drop in inflation and last week's larger-than-usual cut by the
U.S. Federal Reserve.
The NBH cut put Hungary's benchmark rate on par with
Romania's, but still at the European Union's highest level.
The forint was 0.11% lower against the euro at
394.90, a shade weaker than before the rate cut and near the
middle of the range it has traded in since early June.
Equilor brokerage analysts said Hungarian rate setters will
need to balance the inflation outlook and price developments in
the services sector, along with the risks in external trade, the
country's budget, and financial market stability.
The forint has been the worst performer in central Europe
this year, with a 3% drop, although markets took Tuesday's cut
with some steadiness as the forint is still hovering in a range
of 390-399 to the euro seen since July.
In Poland, the zloty was 0.14% lower against the
euro at 4.2645, giving back most of the gains it made on Tuesday
when it firmed to its strongest since mid-July.
"The zloty continues to benefit from growing expectations of
interest rate cuts by major central banks. However, support at
4.25 should slow down the pair's declines," Alior Bank analysts
said.
Poland's central bank has repeatedly pointed to uncertainty
in keeping its main rate steady at 5.75% since surprise cuts
last fall.
CEE SNAPSHOT AT
MARKETS 1222 CET
CURRENCI
ES
Latest Previous Daily Change
trade close change in 2024
Czech Hungary Polish Romanian Serbian Note: calculated from 1800 CET
daily
change
Latest Previous Daily Change
close change in 2024
Prague 1586.16 1582.750 +0.22% +12.17%
0
Budapest 73627.66 73557.89 +0.09% +21.46%
Warsaw 2338.10 2337.49 +0.03% -0.21%
Bucharest 17650.34 17644.15 +0.04% +14.83%
Spread Daily
vs Bund change
in
Czech spread
Republic
2-year 5-year 10-year Poland
2-year 5-year 10-year FORWARD
3x6 6x9 9x12 3M
interban
k
Czech Rep 3.71 3.42 3.11 4.28
Hungary 5.90 5.50 5.04 6.35
Poland 5.76 5.36 4.69 5.85
Note: FRA are for ask prices
quotes
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