WARSAW, May 28 (Reuters) - Central Europe's currencies
held steady on Tuesday, with the zloty near a multi-year high
ahead of an inflation reading later in the week, and the Czech
crown and Hungarian forint slightly off of their highest levels
in months.
"Conditions for emerging market currencies remain
favourable, with continued risk-on sentiment and a weaker U.S.
dollar," ING analysts wrote in a note, pointing out the rather
light calendar for Central Europe.
"Despite the fact that we still see most of the region's
currencies overvalued on a short-term basis, the coming days
will likely support further CEE FX gains across the board."
By 0846 GMT the Polish zloty traded at 4.2590 per
euro, after hitting 4.50 last week, its strongest level since
February 2020.
The zloty remains the region's top performer this year,
supported by the Poland's stable rates outlook from the central
bank and incoming European Union funds.
"Although the EUR/PLN exchange rate is trying to break the
level of 4.25, that is the minimum from 2020, it has not been
able to break it successfully so far. At the same time failures
in the zloty's strengthening did not generate a lasting
corrective impulse," Bank Millennium analysts wrote in a note.
They said that while a shallow breach of 4.25 was possible,
they expected the currency to stabilise around this level in the
coming days.
Poland's stats office will release its flash consumer
inflation reading for May on Wednesday.
"The thing is that we do not believe that the Polish CPI
reading will change the outlook for NBP interest rates, and thus
the valuation of the zloty," Bank Millennium analysts added.
The Hungarian forint traded at 384.50 per euro,
slightly off of its almost four-month high of 383.70 hit on
Friday.
Last week, Hungary's central bank cut its base rate in line
with expectations and said that scope for more easing would be
"very very limited" amid strong service sector repricing and
other risks.
The Czech crown was at 24.7010 per euro, off the
4-1/2 month high of 24.6050 it opened at on Monday, before
easing.
In early May, the Czech central bank also cut its base rate
as expected but scaled back the scope for further easing in an
economic outlook showing stronger growth and softer inflation
this year.
CEE MARKETS SNAPSHOT AT 1046 CET
CURRENCIES
Latest Previous Daily Change
bid close change in 2024
Czech 24.7010 24.6910 -0.04% +0.00%
crown
Hungary 384.5000 384.3500 -0.04% -0.34%
forint
Polish 4.2590 4.2580 -0.02% +2.01%
zloty
Romanian 4.9765 4.9763 -0.00% -0.04%
leu
Note: calculated from 1800
daily CET
change
Latest Previous Daily Change
close change in 2024
Prague 1548.14 1557.1700 -0.58% +9.49%
Budapest 69749.88 65125.52 +7.10% +15.06
%
Warsaw 2522.64 2508.34 +0.57% +7.67%
Bucharest 17859.27 16879.46 +5.80% +16.19
%
Spread Daily
vs Bund change
in
Czech spread
Republic
2-year 4.1250 0.0120 +109bp +2bps
s
5-year 4.1990 0.0100 +159bp +1bps
s
10-year 4.3580 0.0030 +182bp +1bps
s
Poland
2-year 5.3650 0.0030 +233bp +1bps
s
5-year 5.7040 0.0140 +310bp +2bps
s
10-year 5.8250 0.0110 +329bp +2bps
s
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