WARSAW, June 26 (Reuters) - Central Europe's currencies
slipped on Wednesday, led lower by the Czech crown a day ahead
of the Czech central bank decision on interest rates, as a
firming dollar and risk-off sentiment weigh on them.
A higher U.S. interest rate environment, with more hawkish
comments from the Federal Reserve officials on Tuesday, supports
the dollar, pressuring emerging market assets.
"EUR/USD has reverted back to 1.070 after some signs of
relief for CEE. Moreover, sentiment also dropped and turned a
bit more risk-off again, making it complicated for the region,"
ING analysts wrote in a note, adding they saw few local
positives in the coming days.
The Czech crown traded 0.3% lower against the euro at
24.8880, hovering off the previous week's lows, to which it
pulled back from a five month high hit in early June.
Investors are looking towards Thursday's rate decision at
which it could be a close call between whether the bank
maintains or slows its rate-cutting pace.
"Clearly 25bp or 50bp (cut) is on the table. The main
variable here seems to be EUR/CZK given that the rest of the
picture has been a given for some time," ING analysts wrote.
"The dynamics of CZK depreciation over the past week show
the market's sensitivity to the decision itself and reduce the
chances of a 50bp rate cut tomorrow in our view. On the other
hand, the strengthening CZK may in turn reassure the board and
clearly increases the chance of a 50bp move."
The Hungarian forint eased 0.1% to 396.15 per
euro, trading within its range of the past two weeks to which it
slipped from a nearly four-month high hit in late May.
"The strengthening of the dollar was not good for the
forint, it reversed the (forint's) strengthening seen on
Monday," MBH Bank wrote in a note.
The Polish zloty meanwhile was flat at 4.3015 per
euro.
"The zloty has seen several days of correcting losses
suffered after the European Parliament elections," Alior Bank
analysts wrote in a note.
"Yesterday, the first signals appeared that the dynamic
phase of correction is already behind us and with the dollar
rebounding, we can observe an attempt to stabilise EUR-PLN
around 4.30."
CEE SNAPSHOT AT
MARKETS 1146
CET
CURRENCIES
Latest Previou Daily Change
s
trade close change in 2024
Czech Hungary 0
Polish Romanian Serbian 0
Note: calculated from 1800 CET
daily
change
Latest Previou Daily Change
s
close change in 2024
Prague 1541.44 1540.60 +0.05% +9.01%
00
Budapest 70856.95 70647.0 +0.30% +16.89%
4
Warsaw Buchares 18319.56 18271.2 +0.26% +19.18%
t 7
Spread Daily
vs Bund change
in
Czech spread
Republic
2-year 5-year Poland
2-year 5-year FORWARD RATE
AGREEMENTS
3x6 6x9 9x12 3M
interban
k
Czech Hungary Poland Note: are for ask prices
FRA
quotes
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